It’s that time of the week again where we look at where the Vikings currently stand in their playoffs aspirations and what needs to happen to seal the deal. Although the Vikings were unable to, against all odds, go into Arizona and beat the Cardinals, their playoff situation didn’t get worse. Most of the other teams that needed to lose did, increasing the likelihood of a Vikings playoff berth.
As of right now (pre-Week 15), according to the NY Times Playoff Simulator, the Vikings make the playoffs in 90% of [144,000] simulations. That’s actually 5% higher than where we were before Week 14 despite the Vikings not winning their game.
However, between last week and this week, the Vikings did drop from the fifth seed to the sixth. This is because the Seahawks were able to [handily] beat the Ravens and move to 8-5 themselves. As you know, likely despite your efforts to erase it from your memory, the Seahawks hold the head-to-head tiebreaker. This means that the Vikings drop a spot, drastically altering their course once they’re in the playoffs. (Adam Patrick did an excellent job earlier this week of outlining the preferred seed.)
But let’s go ahead and kick things off by recapping last week and see what went right and what went wrong.