Wednesday, July 1, 2015

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The Vikings and the Jets have released their inactives lists for the game today. Injury report and inactive list below:

NAME POSITION INJURY WED. THU. FRI. STATUS GAMEDAY
McKinnon, Jerick RB Low Back DNP DNP DNP Out IR
Barr, Anthony LB Knee DNP DNP DNP Doubtful Inactive
Price, Jabari CB Hamstring DNP DNP DNP Doubtful Inactive
Line, Zach FB Hip - - - None Inactive
Watts, Brandon LB Knee - - - None Inactive
Yankey, David G Neck - - - None Inactive
Webb, J’Marcus T Ankle - - - None Inactive
Crichton, Scott DE Rib - - - None Inactive
Ellison, Rhett TE Ankle DNP LP LP Probable Active
Floyd, Sharrif DT Knee DNP LP LP Probable Active
Ford, Chase TE Hamstring/Foot LP LP FP Probable Active
Rudolph, Kyle TE Abdomen/Groin FP FP FP Probable Active

No huge surprises here, but it is a disappointment that Anthony Barr won’t be able to play for the Vikings, especially given that his replacement, Gerald Hodges, hasn’t been spectacular against the run. The Vikings are playing against a team that is historic in its commitment to the run, so that could end up interesting. I wouldn’t be surprised if we don’t see much of Josh Robinson today almost exclusively because the Vikings would rather have more linebackers on the field in order to deal with the Jets’ run emphasis and even cover for some of Hodges’ potential weaknesses in this area. At least Hodges has good range, even if it’s not the same as Barr’s.

All three tight ends are active, even if all three are injured. The Jets have given up 12 touchdowns to tight ends, so this may become relevant. On the other hand, they haven’t given up an unusual number of yards to tight ends, preferring to let receivers do damage against them.

Justin Trattou, the player just promoted from the practice squad to take Jerick McKinnon’s spot on the roster after he went on injured reserve, is active. Surprising, considering he plays the same position as Scott Crichton, but is ahead of him on the depth chart.

The Vikings have announced that Gerald Hodges will start at SLB, Matt Asiata at RB and Charles Johnson at WR.

NAME POSITION INJURY WED. THU. FRI. STATUS GAMEDAY
Amaro, Jace TE Concussion DNP DNP DNP Out Inactive
Thomas, Josh DB Illness DNP FP FP Probable Inactive
Wilkerson, Muhammad DL Toe DNP DNP DNP Out Inactive
Dozier, Dakota OL None - - - N/A Inactive
Simms, Matt QB None - - - N/A Inactive
Powell, Walter WR None - - - N/A Inactive
Johnson, Wesley OL None - - - N/A Inactive
Cumberland, Jeff TE Illness DNP LP FP Probable Active
Folk, Nick K Hip DNP LP FP Probable Active
Kerley, Jeremy WR Illness DNP LP FP Probable Active
Salas, Greg WR Hamstring DNP DNP FP Probable Active
Colon, Willie OL Shoulder/Knee FP FP FP Probable Active
Johnson, Chris RB Knee FO FP FP Probable Active

No surprises. As noted earlier, it’s a good thing for the Vikings that Muhammad Wilkerson is out, as he’s arguably the best two-gapping player in the NFL. That doesn’t mean the Vikings are in the clear in regards to a run offense that doesn’t have Jerick McKinnon or Adrian Peterson, and instead will rely on an unimpressive and rotating set of running backs. The rest of the Jets’ run defense is very strong, and the Vikings will have to take to air in order to generate offense.

Amaro hasn’t been a factor this season, so his absence due to concussion won’t play a big role, especially because the Jets would have to pass for that to be the case.

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According to Chris Mortesen, Adrian Peterson is unlikely to play this year. In September, Mort reported that the NFL was going to be harsh with Peterson (correct) and that the team was done with Peterson (contested, but not proven to be correct or incorrect yet). We don’t know if they are, but if these are the same team sources, then Mort isn’t providing new information, and will have to be balanced against the other reports from Jason Cole and Mike Florio that the team is still optimistic about Adrian Peterson (unless they’re concerned about his playing health, per Jason La Confora). Aren’t sources great? Anyway, tweets below:

Two things: first I’m not surprised Adrian wouldn’t play in a scenario where he wins his appeal. There’s little point to playing a running back who hasn’t gone through conditioning, even if it’s Adrian Peterson, in a lost season where the Vikings are clearly all-in on evaluating their talent. Further, if the Vikings are concerned with his trade value, the small risk of injury would tank their plans (exacerbated by missing workout time, perhaps).

Beyond that, with little additional reward and some risk, the Vikings would further be risking public relations blowback by playing him sooner rather than later. By next year, the public relations impact will likely die down. Combined with the possibility of the legal team working against Peterson’s reinstatement, and there’s a good reason to believe the team isn’t invested in a 2014 return.

The second thing is that it would be classically Vikings for Adrian Peterson’s appeal to delay a suspension if he’s unsuccessful. That’s not surprising—he’s not suspended right now, merely on the Exempt list (still, somehow). It’s ridiculous and Peterson should get credit for these three games he’s missed, because he’s missing games now for a new reason entirely, not because of the initial violation of the conduct policy—procedural clarity shouldn’t come with this kind of cost.

For what it’s worth, Peter King thinks Peterson will win his appeal, and it will be up to the team to activate him:

With Peterson likely (but not certain) to be reinstated by a league appeals officer, Harold Henderson, next week, the ball would be in Minnesota’s court as to whether to activate him for the final three games of the year. We’ll hear lots about it this weekend, including whether the Vikings’ coaching side is on the same page with the Vikings’ front-office.

Percy Harvin and the J-E-T-S are coming to town and the Vikings are trying to remain at least statistically relevant in the playoff hunt.  A late-season run, with a little will-they-won’t-they drama, could be just what this organization needs heading into Mike Zimmer’s second season as head coach.

Here are some great links to keep you busy leading up to kickoff:

 

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UPDATE: Adam Caplan of the NFL Network reports that the Vikings are expecting an 8-week recovery time

This is fantastic news, and will not only allow the Vikings to better assess the running back situation as soon as possible, but likely means the injury isn’t serious in the context of affecting his movement and long-term ability to play. Original story below, including the speculation that proved to be ultimately incorrect about McKinnon’s recovery time.


The Minnesota Vikings have announced through their Twitter accounts that running back Jerick McKinnon will be placed on season-ending injured reserve. He was listed as out for the last two games with a lower back injury sustained during weightlifting. They have decided to promote defensive end Justin Trattou to take his place, and signed former Baylor Bears (and former Chicago Bear, for a brief time) safety Ahmad Dixon to the practice squad (as a “defensive back,” but likely safety). The Vikings had Ahmad Dixon on their practice squad earlier.

Twitter user @Kurmudge, who has a medical background, has made an educated guess on the nature of Jerick McKinnon’s injury, arguing that there’s a good chance it was a slipped disc or disc tear in the back while weightlifting.

For a graphic (it’s a non-graphic graphic) and brief description of the injury, click here. It sounds bad, but this describes the worst case scenario:

Like most other injuries, the body will attempt to heal the annular tear by filling in the gap with scar tissue. depending on the amount of degeneration within the disc, anecdotally, healing times can be 18 months or even more. New blood vessels will grow from the periphery of the disc down toward the nucleus through the annular tear (it is these blood vessels in part that supplied the building blocks needed for the scar tissue to form). Unfortunately, pain-carrying new nerve fiber acompany the blood vessels down into the center of the disc! This is not a good thing, because now has a higher capacity to generate pain because it has more pain-carrying nerve fiber within it. This phenomenon, as well as a similar phenomenon which may occur vertebral endplate, is most likely the reason why patients with annular tears often suffer bouts of pain throughout their lives.

Still, there’s a lot of different things that can happen here, and it may be the case that there is no disc injury at all. Even if there was one, surgery and other options can reduce the recovery time, especially if we’re not dealing with the worst case scenario.

Regardless, it’s a really depressing addition to a season full of depressing injury news. McKinnon had shown tremendous promise this season, and the Vikings will have to really determine what they’re going to do with the running back situation—a sticky situation now made stickier by the uncertainty of McKinnon’s condition. Move running back up the needs board, even if the Vikings entertain the idea of keeping Peterson on the roster.

For now, the Vikings will split carries between Matt Asiata, Joe Banyard and Ben Tate. Who will receive the majority share of the carries remains to be seen—though Tate and Banyard show much more physical upside than Asiata, who at the moment displays better vision. Banyard was pulled from last week’s game after missing a pass-rushing assignment and Ben Tate had a very mixed performance in his stead.

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Rookie running back Jerick McKinnon has been listed as out for the Sunday game against the New York Jets with the same back issue that kept him out of last Sunday’s game—one caused by a strain during a workout. With three other running backs on the roster, this shouldn’t be a big issue for the Vikings in terms of fielding players, but he is still likely the most talented back the Vikings have.

In his stead, the Vikings will continue to rotate Matt Asiata, Joe Banyard and Ben Tate, and I doubt they will have a consistently featured running back in the short term. Joe Banyard had his snaps cut against the Carolina Panthers because of a missed pass protection assignment, while Ben Tate has ball security issues he needs to fix sooner rather than later.

Rookie linebacker Anthony Barr (as well as rookie cornerback Jabari Price with an ankle injury) has been listed as doubtful (knee), meaning he is also unlikely to play against the Jets—obviously a big concern with the Jets focusing almost exclusively on a running attack against Miami, and potentially doing so again against the Vikings. The Jets ran the ball 49 times and passed 13 times last Monday night, with four of those passes coming in the final drive in hurry-up from behind.

Anthony Barr will likely be replaced by Gerald Hodges, who has had issues defending against the run in the past, especially against the Carolina Panthers. Given the general weakness of the linebacker corps, with the two other starters (Chad Greenway and Jasper Brinkley) struggling, this could be a liability for the Vikings. Anthony Barr hasn’t practiced all week.

On the other hand, the third started that the Vikings may have potentially lost looks likely to play, with Sharrif Floyd listed as probable (knee). Floyd has been stellar since Week 7, and may be more critical to defending the run than Anthony Barr was—he certainly was better at it. Jets center Nick Mangold has been having a revival season of sorts, so a strong presence in the interior will be necessary.

Tight ends Chase Ford (hamstring/foot), Rhett Ellison (ankle) and Kyle Rudolph (abdomen/groin) are listed as probable.

The Jets will have starting defensive end Muhammad Wilkerson out—a blessing in disguise, because outside of J.J. Watt, Wilkerson is the best 3-4 defensive end in the NFL, and possibly the best two-gap player in the league. This won’t protect the Vikings against an almost equally gifted Sheldon Richardson at defensive end or a strong set of other defensive players set up on the line of scrimmage, but it’s a start. The Jets will also be missing tight end Jace Amaro. No one else is listed as out or doubtful.

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