The NFL’s Top QBs after Week 16
Janik Eckardt
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The following scores are “good” through December 28th, 2022, and detail the NFL’s top QBs after Week 16
This metric merges quarterback grades and scores from Pro Football Focus, FootballOutsiders’ DVOA, EPA+CPOE, and the traditional Passer Rating. The objective is to rank quarterbacks week-by-week with a progressive rolling tally and set of rankings.
The following scores and rankings are weighted and scaled to 100. PFF accounts for 30% of the score, DVOA with 30%, EPA+CPOE at 30%, and Passer Rating 10%. Skill position players and players with menial pass attempts were excluded.
The NFL’s Top QBs after Week 16
33. Zach Wilson (NYJ) — 25.8
PFF = 46.5, EPA+CPOE = -.003, DVOA = -16.3, PR = 72.8
32. Baker Mayfield (LAR) — 28.8
PFF = 46.5, EPA+CPOE = -.003, DVOA = -30.3, PR = 76.1
31. Davis Mills (HOU) — 33.1
PFF = 60.5, EPA+CPOE = .001, DVOA = -17.0, PR = 79.0
30. Taylor Heinicke (WAS) — 35.1
PFF = 49.8, EPA+CPOE = .054, DVOA = -10.1, PR = 89.6
29. Carson Wentz (WAS) — 35.4
PFF = 63.2, EPA+CPOE = .015, DVOA = -17.1, PR = 86.3
28. Matt Ryan (IND) — 35.8
PFF = 63.8, EPA+CPOE = .037, DVOA = -23.4, PR = 83.9
27. Russell Wilson (DEN) — 37.6
PFF = 64.7, EPA+CPOE = .038, DVOA = -16.8, PR = 82.6
26. Mac Jones (NE) — 39.3
PFF = 66.1, EPA+CPOE = .035, DVOA = -11.4, PR = 84.6
25. Matthew Stafford (LAR) — 41.4
PFF = 67.0, EPA+CPOE = .041, DVOA = -7.2, PR = 87.4
24. Kenny Pickett (PIT) — 41.6
PFF = 70.4, EPA+CPOE = .057, DVOA = -13.0, PR = 75.7
23. Justin Fields (CHI) — 41.7
PFF = 72.7, EPA+CPOE = .068, DVOA = -26.5, PR = 88.3
22. Kyler Murray (ARI) — 41.9
PFF = 67.1, EPA+CPOE = .051, DVOA = -9.0, PR = 87.2
21. Derek Carr (LV) — 45.4
PFF = 66.6, EPA+CPOE = .068, DVOA = 1.8, PR = 86.3
20. Marcus Mariota (ATL) — 46.4
PFF = 66.3, EPA+CPOE = .072, DVOA = 4.5, PR = 88.2
19. Justin Herbert (LAC) — 49.3
PFF = 76.9, EPA+CPOE = .073, DVOA = -3.7, PR = 91.2
18. Aaron Rodgers (GB) — 50.0
PFF = 78.2, EPA+CPOE = .065, DVOA = -0.3, PR = 91.3
17. Daniel Jones (NYG) — 50.1
PFF = 74.9, EPA+CPOE = .09, DVOA = -2.5, PR = 90.7
16. Tom Brady (TB) — 50.4
PFF = 75.2, EPA+CPOE = .069, DVOA = 7.3, PR = 87.9
15. Ryan Tannehill (TEN) — 51.2
PFF = 74.9, EPA+CPOE = .081, DVOA = 3.8, PR = 94.6
14. Kirk Cousins (MIN) — 51.3
PFF = 76.2, EPA+CPOE = .08, DVOA = 3.1, PR = 93.3
13. Lamar Jackson (BAL) — 55.6
PFF = 85.2, EPA+CPOE = .084, DVOA = 5.3, PR = 91.1
12. Jared Goff (DET) — 55.7
PFF = 68.6, EPA+CPOE = .107, DVOA = 24.0, PR = 98.3
11. Trevor Lawrence (JAX) — 56.4
PFF = 77.5, EPA+CPOE = .105, DVOA = 12.7, PR = 96.0
10. Jacoby Brissett (CLE) — 57.5
PFF = 82.4, EPA+CPOE = .103, DVOA = 13.1, PR = 88.9
9. Andy Dalton (NO) — 57.5
PFF = 86.9, EPA+CPOE = .087 DVOA = 7.5, PR = 95.7
8. Dak Prescott (DAL) — 59.2
PFF = 75.7, EPA+CPOE = .144, DVOA = 13.9, PR = 97.2
7. Geno Smith (SEA) — 59.7
PFF = 82.0, EPA+CPOE = .123, DVOA = 9.5, PR = 102.9
6. Jimmy Garoppolo (SF) — 60.3
PFF = 71.4, EPA+CPOE = .13, DVOA = 28.8, PR = 103.0
5. Josh Allen (BUF) — 64.6
PFF = 90.4, EPA+CPOE = .137, DVOA = 14.2, PR = 96.1
4. Joe Burrow (CIN) — 65.3
PFF = 90.8, EPA+CPOE = .139, DVOA = 12.7, PR = 102.3
3. Jalen Hurts (PHI) — 66.1
PFF = 88.6, EPA+CPOE = .155, DVOA = 13.5, PR = 104.6
2. Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) — 66.2
PFF = 81.9, EPA+CPOE = .148, DVOA = 28.3, PR = 105.5
1. Patrick Mahomes (KC) — 72.5
PFF = 91.3, EPA+CPOE = .181, DVOA = 27.3, PR = 105.1
Janik Eckardt is a football fan who likes numbers and stats. The Vikings became his favorite team despite their quarterback at the time, Christian Ponder. He is a walking soccer encyclopedia, loves watching sitcoms, and Classic rock is his music genre of choice. Follow him on Twitter if you like the Vikings: @JanikEckardt
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