2015 NFL Draft: Consensus Big Board—Evaluators vs. Forecasters and the Most Polarizing Players in the Draft

Arif Hasan |

Apr 24, 2015

NFL Mock Draft 2015 Brent — Photo courtesy of Vikings.com

What does Big Draft know?

It knows a lot of things about a lot of people that don’t find their way into scouting reports or media coverage until after the draft, and it’s always a surprise. Jesse Williams fall out of the first round into the fifth round, or Antonio Richardson’s fall from the second round into UDFA were not well modeled by larger media coverage of the draft, but Teddy Bridgewater’s fall out of the top ten was, as was Shayne Skov’s fight for a contract after the draft.

For the most part, missing these pieces of information make it difficult to predict the draft, and big boards from third parties without a strong access journalism background can miss on these players. But that doesn’t mean the evaluations are wrong, or even that they’re worse at evaluating.

Right now, for example, people (including me) are freaking out because Vic Beasley isn’t in Mel Kiper and Todd McShay’s most recent first-round mock draft. Freaking out not necessarily because they are doing anything ill-advised or dumb, but because this is the kind of thing driven by their access to teams. It is, for example, a more extreme inverse version of Breshad Perriman’s constant appearance in the first round of Kiper’s mock drafts.

There are two general approaches to draft coverage: 1) Who is going to pick who and 2) Who is good. Last year, we separated the draft boards into two categories: Forecasters (who do a job more closely resembling question #1) and Evaluators (who are closer to answering question #2 than question #1).

Generally speaking, the forecasters have been or are currently employed by media organizations that thrive on access, and that gives them access as well. Beyond that, people like Nolan Nawrocki (formerly of Pro Football Weekly and NFL.com) publish draft guides that are driven in big ways by the access they have.

Sometimes that access influences the actual talent evaluation, but often it will influence the final grade by speaking to the gravity of character concerns, injury concerns or some other errata.

Last year, unusual clusters of similar rankings at odd points in the charts confirmed (to me) the clear separation between those two groups of draft boards. This year, there are far fewer clusters in that data (it’s a more polarizing draft), but they do show up.

The media haven’t finalized their rankings, however, and we’re missing a lot of big names, like Daniel Jeremiah, Mike Mayock and Mel Kiper, who all have fewer than 100 players ranked. Expect those boards to solidify in the coming week and create starker divisions between the forecasters and evaluators.

Their boards, plus the biggest disagreements and most polarizing players below. If you want to jump straight to the 300-player version of the final consensus board, click here.

If you want to look at what the forecasters are saying right away, click here. For the evaluators, click here.

For alternate boards, click here.

Player Polarity

Most Polarizing

The first thing we’re doing is not looking at the differences between the evaluators and forecasters, but the differences between all boards, and which players are the most difficult to project. Last year, we found that players that drew the hottest takes—Johnny Manziel and Jadeveon Clowney—weren’t necessarily the most polarizing players in the draft as far as player rankings go.

Teddy still found a way high up on the list, though.

We identified three things that generally got a player on this list of top twenty most polarizing players: injury, tape/measureables split (sometimes small players and sometimes slow players) and uneven careers.

We can add off-field concerns to that list, by the way.

The Polar Score below isn’t contingent upon the difference between a player’s highest and lowest ranks (see that Shane Ray is third, not first) even though those things are listed. It accounts for their overall rank and the fact that a difference between #1 on a board and #5 on a board is much bigger than a difference between #70 and #80 on a board.

It looks at unevenness from a lot of boards, not just the outliers. So the fact that one board has Winston as their 34th-ranked player didn’t really have an impact. That Winston’s consistently ranged from #1 to #34 with most of the ranks in between did. So this isn’t a measurement of who drew the biggest outliers.

Polarity Rank	Player	Polar Score	High	Low	Overall Rank
1	Jameis Winston	9.52	1	34	2
2	Marcus Mariota	3.19	1	25	3
3	Shane Ray	2.73	1	92	15
4	Dorial Green-Beckham	2.70	12	173	33
5	Lorenzo Mauldin	2.29	45	387	89
6	Dante Fowler Jr.	2.15	2	38	5
7	Danny Shelton	2.14	5	86	13
8	Arik Armstead	2.11	9	130	24
9	Byron Jones	2.10	13	168	41
10	DeAndre Smelter	1.88	77	600	188
11	Mitch Morse	1.65	68	450	157
12	Andrus Peat	1.58	9	108	21
13	Todd Gurley	1.49	2	46	9
14	Brandon Scherff	1.48	4	34	7
15	Eric Rowe	1.45	14	208	63
16	Brett Hundley	1.45	5	246	67
17	Tre’ Jackson	1.42	21	308	74
18	Randy Gregory	1.38	2	35	10
19	Frank Clark	1.36	65	450	162
20	Vic Beasley	1.36	3	41	8

So, in this case we have uneven year-to-year careers (Jameis Winston, Brandon Scherff, etc), injury (Todd Gurley, DeAndre Smelter) and a lot of off-field concerns (including Winston; the combination propelled him to a runaway lead), which don’t just include Jameis, but a lot of folks on the list. There’s also players with great measureables and missing or poor tape, and players with some good tape and iffy measureables.

We also have some system fit /scheme issues, with Marcus Mariota, DeAndre Smelter, Shane Ray and so on.

Of note, Mel Kiper’s enthusiasm for Breshad Perriman hasn’t affected the other forecaster boards (yet). Kiper’s board isn’t included yet, but Perriman ranks 36th by the forecasters and 40th by the evaluators.

Anyways, congratulations to Jameis Winston! I’m sure he saw this coming, and I’m equally confident it really won’t matter.

Least Polarizing

If we have a consensus #1, that’s not really news, but if we have a consensus #75? Well, that’s not news either, but it is curious.

Taking a look at the least polarizing players after accounting for draft position can produce some interesting quirks. What makes it such that everyone agrees that Durell Eskridge is basically the 165th-best player in the draft if people can’t agree on the 164 players before him? I don’t really know, but maybe you do.

Unity Rank	Player	Polar Score	High	Low	Overall Rank
1	Durell Eskridge	0.18	103	248	165
2	Wes Saxton	0.19	98	263	182
3	Sean Hickey	0.19	117	285	170
4	Dezmin Lewis	0.21	75	228	152
5	Duke Johnson	0.21	27	105	55
6	T.J. Yeldon	0.21	41	109	67
7	Jake Ryan	0.22	76	262	157
8	Kevin White (WR)	0.22	3	13	6
9	Vince Mayle	0.23	92	248	155
10	Devin Smith	0.23	29	95	50
11	Tony Lippett	0.23	86	215	122
12	Ladarius Gunter	0.23	116	304	186
13	Quandre Diggs	0.23	80	246	161
14	Rashad Greene	0.24	52	166	76
15	Karlos Williams	0.24	109	289	176
16	Eli Harold	0.25	14	63	32
17	Jamison Crowder	0.25	57	181	111
18	Christian Covington	0.26	59	283	131
19	Dres Anderson	0.27	65	246	167
20	Tyler Kroft	0.27	58	230	118

These are more statistical anomalies than anything. If you have a random distribution of player rankings, some are just going to end up as consensus “picks,” but there are occasionally patterns. Because we’ve adjusted for overall rank, the fact that Leonard Williams is a very strong consensus number one isn’t included.

Quandre Diggs has a lot of fans, but I think people are generally disinclined to rank him as a Top 100 player despite how much they like him because of his height and fit as a nickel corner instead of as a boundary corner. A similar thing may be happening to Rashad Greene on offense, though this time it seems like people are keeping him out of the top 50, not 100.

The only player in the top 20 that shows up here is Kevin White, who was ranked 5th, 6th or 7th by 42 percent of the boards I looked at, an astounding place to be in—especially because he carries a lot of the markers of a potentially polarizing player.

He’s had an uneven career (though this time he ended on a high note, unlike Will Sutton last year and Winston/Scherff this year), comes from a system with projection concerns (though he’s no Tavon Austin/Stedman Bailey in that respect), had surprisingly good measureables and is a relatively unpolished player.

In the top 50 are Devin Smith (who I suppose I stand alone on as a massively underrated player) and Eli Harold, while Duke Johnson is just outside that mark.

Forecasters v. Big Board

Biggest Disagreements

Now we’ll look at the biggest disagreements between the groups of boards, not just the individual boards. Last year, when we looked at the biggest agreements between the groups of boards, the forecasters came out well ahead when it came to… forecasting.

	Evaluator Wins	Forecaster Wins	Ties
Top 32	0	2	1
Top 50	0	4	1
Top 100	1	9	1
Top 256	9	31	1

The table above looks at any player who had a Polar Score of 1.0 or higher, and the “win” was awarded to which set of boards was closer to the actual pick in the draft.

If we exclude Taylor Lewan (the tie), that’s a 6-0 win for forecasters in the top 50 and a 9-1 landslide in the top 100. But last year, the forecasters were in much more agreement than this year, at least before these boards finalize. We’ll produce final results when we have CBS’ board update, as well as updates from Kiper, the NFL Network guys, Scouts, Inc., Josh Norris, Matt Miller and more.

For now, the differences can still be demonstrative.

Overall Rank	Player	Eval	Forecast	Difference	Difference Score
164	Tyeler Davison	138	230	92	2.01
145	Zach Hodges	129	208	79	1.71
254	David Parry	300	197	103	1.56
63	Eric Rowe	52	89	37	1.51
192	DeAndre Smelter	164	246	82	1.35
198	Kyle Emanuel	225	149	76	1.34
249	Chaz Green	284	194	90	1.27
167	Dres Anderson	188	126	62	1.18
184	Justin Coleman	165	241	76	1.17
159	Mitch Morse	178	119	59	1.17
144	Stefon Diggs	168	112	56	1.15
34	Jake Fisher	31	52	21	1.14
39	Byron Jones	37	60	23	1.06
146	Shaquille Mason	128	187	59	1.06
169	Sean Mannion	192	132	60	1.05
225	Xzavier Dickson	260	184	76	1.02

It seems the notion that Sean Mannion is getting the Tom Savage treatment is sort of true, but not to the same degree. Players that show up on this list have a few things in common, but one thing worth pointing out: it’s difficult to find good film of them.

Some of them play in the PAC-12, which is pretty aggressive about taking down videos on the go-to amateur breakdown resource, draftbreakdown.com. Others play for smaller schools or those without a lot of tape on the site, like Byron Jones, Zach Hodges, DeAndre Smelter, Shaquille Mason, Kyle Emanuel, Stefon Diggs and so on.

Does that mean that the forecasters are more correct? It’s intuitive, after all: they have much more resources and can access that game film, or at the very least have access to people who have access to that.

On the other hand, it’s far easier to feed misinformation to those that aren’t well known. It isn’t very credible or useful for a team to attempt to mitigate Leonard Williams’ draft stock. No matter how much a team lies about Williams, he’s going top five (barring something massively unforeseen), so there’s not much to gain from it.

For a player like David Parry, a team could artificially boost him to obscure an interest in someone else, or do the opposite to Zach Hodges—who teams may like a lot, but not talk about in order to keep him quiet. Scouting has a really large reach for a lot of teams, but it’s not perfect in its reach or its market for information.

Expect all this to change once we get those final updates again.

Anyway, screw the PAC-12.

Biggest Agreements

We don’t think Vince Mayle is a top 150 player, but dammit if he isn’t just outside of it.

Overall Rank	Player	Eval	Forecast
155	Vince Mayle	154	154
60	Quinten Rollins	61	61
30	D.J. Humphries	30	30
28	Jaelen Strong	27	27
22	Eddie Goldman	22	22
19	Malcom Brown	19	19
6	Kevin White (WR)	6	6
5	Dante Fowler Jr.	5	5
2	Jameis Winston	2	2
1	Leonard Williams	1	1

Jameis Winston has the unique distinction of being the most polarizing player on the individual boards and the clear consensus at number two. That’s for at least three reasons:

James Winston was either ranked one or two by most people or ranked like 20th. People who didn’t like him, really did not like him. So the two consensus boards generally gave him the second rank even if individual rankers did not.
There was no clear #3. The difference in ranking points between #1 and #2 was huge, but the difference between #2 and #3 was equally large. Marcus Mariota, Kevin White, Amari Cooper, Dante Fowler and Vic Beasley all occupied the third or fourth spot in various rankings, and that really diluted the distribution of points, giving Winston enough of a buffer to overcome the eventual #3.
That dilution of points meant Marcus Mariota and Amari Cooper switched between #3 and #4 between the two boards, and in a system that produced ten ties, that’s enough to knock a player out of contention for being a consensus pick between the two groups.

The fact that one of the best draft insiders in the business (of sorts), Bob McGinn of the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel just published a piece indicating that a number of scouts are comparing Jameis Winston to Jamarcus Russell, a lot of boards could change in short order.

Go to top.
Go to consensus board.
Go to forecaster board.
Go to evaluator board.
Go to alternate boards.

Forecaster Board

If you wanted the forecaster board, it’s below. Quick note—the role and position concepts were described in my last post, but I’ll post the table here again for a quick reminder of what they mean:

And the board:

Rank	Player	School	Role	Role Rk	Position	Pos Rk
1	Leonard Williams	USC	5T	1	IDL	1
2	Jameis Winston	Florida St	QB	1	QB	1
3	Amari Cooper	Alabama	FL	1	WR	1
4	Marcus Mariota	Oregon	QB	2	QB	2
5	Dante Fowler Jr.	Florida	EDGE	1	EDGE	1
6	Kevin White (WR)	West Virginia	SE	1	WR	2
7	Brandon Scherff	Iowa	OT	1	OL	1
8	Todd Gurley	Georgia	RBF	1	RB	1
9	Trae Waynes	Michigan St	OCB	1	CB	1
10	Vic Beasley	Clemson	EDGE	2	EDGE	2
11	Shane Ray	Missouri	EDGE	3	EDGE	3
12	Randy Gregory	Nebraska	EDGE	4	EDGE	4
13	DeVante Parker	Louisville	SE	2	WR	3
14	Andrus Peat	Stanford	OT	2	OL	2
15	Danny Shelton	Washington	NT	1	IDL	2
16	Melvin Gordon	Wisconsin	RBF	2	RB	2
17	Landon Collins	Alabama	SS	1	S	1
18	Alvin Dupree	Kentucky	EDGE	5	EDGE	5
19	Malcom Brown	Texas	NT	2	IDL	3
20	Arik Armstead	Oregon	5T	2	IDL	4
21	Ereck Flowers	Miami (FL)	OT	3	OL	3
22	Eddie Goldman	Florida St	NT	3	IDL	5
23	La’el Collins	LSU	OT	4	OL	4
24	Marcus Peters	Washington	OCB	2	CB	2
25	Kevin Johnson	Wake Forest	OCB	3	CB	3
26	Cameron Erving	Florida St	OC	1	OL	5
27	Jaelen Strong	Arizona St	FL	2	WR	4
28	Eli Harold	Virginia	EDGE	6	EDGE	6
29	Jordan Phillips	Oklahoma	NT	4	IDL	6
30	D.J. Humphries	Florida	OT	5	OL	6
31	Jalen Collins	LSU	OCB	4	CB	4
32	Eric Kendricks	UCLA	OFOB	1	OFB	1
33	T.J. Clemmings	Pittsburgh	OT	6	OL	7
34	Shaq Thompson	Washington	OFOB	2	OFB	2
35	Breshad Perriman	Central Florida	SE	3	WR	5
36	Dorial Green-Beckham	Missouri	SE	4	WR	6
37	Benardrick McKinney	Mississippi St	OFIB	1	OFB	3
38	Owamagbe Odighizuwa	UCLA	EDGE	7	EDGE	7
39	Carl Davis	Iowa	NT	5	IDL	7
40	Devin Smith	Ohio State	SE	5	WR	7
41	Phillip Dorsett	Miami (FL)	SE	6	WR	8
42	Nelson Agholor	USC	FL	3	WR	9
43	Cedric Ogbuehi	Texas A&M	OT	7	OL	8
44	Tevin Coleman	Indiana	RBF	3	RB	3
45	Preston Smith	Mississippi St	EDGE	8	EDGE	8
46	Michael Bennett (DT)	Ohio St	3T	1	IDL	8
47	Maxx Williams	Minnesota	TE	1	TE	1
48	P.J. Williams	Florida St	OCB	5	CB	5
49	Ronald Darby	Florida St	OCB	6	CB	6
50	Sammie Coates	Auburn	FL	4	WR	10
51	Jay Ajayi	Boise St	RBF	4	RB	4
52	Jake Fisher	Oregon	OT	8	OL	9
53	Ameer Abdullah	Nebraska	RBF	5	RB	5
54	Denzel Perryman	Miami (FL)	OFIB	2	OFB	4
55	Duke Johnson	Miami (FL)	RBF	6	RB	6
56	A.J. Cann	South Carolina	OG	1	OL	10
57	Nate Orchard	Utah	EDGE	9	EDGE	9
58	Devin Funchess	Michigan	SE	7	WR	11
59	Laken Tomlinson	Duke	OG	2	OL	11
60	Byron Jones	Connecticut	OCB	7	CB	7
61	Quinten Rollins	Miami (OH)	OCB	8	CB	8
62	Paul Dawson	TCU	OFIB	3	OFB	5
63	T.J. Yeldon	Alabama	RBF	7	RB	7
64	Danielle Hunter	LSU	EDGE	10	EDGE	10
65	Tre’ Jackson	Florida St	OG	3	OL	12
66	Stephone Anthony	Clemson	OFIB	4	OFB	6
67	Tyler Lockett	Kansas St	FL	5	WR	12
68	Donovan Smith	Penn St	OT	9	OL	13
69	Mario Edwards Jr.	Florida St	EDGE	11	EDGE	11
70	Clive Walford	Miami (FL)	TE	2	TE	2
71	Hroniss Grasu	Oregon	OC	2	OL	14
72	Hau’oli Kikaha	Washington	EDGE	12	EDGE	12
73	Rashad Greene	Florida St	FL	6	WR	13
74	Grady Jarrett	Clemson	3T	2	IDL	9
75	Lorenzo Mauldin	Louisville	EDGE	13	EDGE	13
76	Brett Hundley	UCLA	QB	3	QB	3
77	Ifo Ekpre-Olomu	Oregon	NCB	1	CB	9
78	D’Joun Smith	Florida Atlantic	NCB	2	CB	10
79	Ali Marpet	Hobart	OG	4	OL	15
80	Alex Carter	Stanford	OCB	9	CB	11
81	Markus Golden	Missouri	EDGE	14	EDGE	14
82	Jaquiski Tartt	Samford	SS	2	S	2
83	Senquez Golson	Ole Miss	NCB	3	CB	12
84	Henry Anderson	Stanford	5T	3	IDL	10
85	Xavier Cooper	Washington St	5T	4	IDL	11
86	Ty Sambrailo	Colorado St	OT	10	OL	16
87	Bryce Petty	Baylor	QB	4	QB	4
88	Doran Grant	Ohio State	OCB	10	CB	13
89	Eric Rowe	Utah	OCB	11	CB	14
90	Jeremy Langford	Michigan St	RBF	8	RB	8
91	Marcus Hardison	Arizona St	3T	3	IDL	12
92	Derron Smith	Fresno St	FS	1	S	3
93	Garrett Grayson	Colorado State	QB	5	QB	5
94	Damarious Randall	Arizona State	FS	2	S	4
95	David Johnson	Northern Iowa	RBC	1	RB	9
96	Daryl Williams	Oklahoma	OT	11	OL	17
97	Justin Hardy	East Carolina	FL	7	WR	14
98	Za’Darius Smith	Kentucky	EDGE	15	EDGE	15
99	Trey Flowers	Arkansas	EDGE	16	EDGE	16
100	Rob Havenstein	Wisconsin	OT	12	OL	18
101	Javorius Allen	USC	RBF	9	RB	10
102	Kwon Alexander	LSU	OFIB	5	OFB	7
103	Mike Davis	South Carolina	RBF	10	RB	11
104	Cody Prewitt	Ole Miss	FS	3	S	5
105	Charles Gaines	Louisville	NCB	4	CB	15
106	Tyler Kroft	Rutgers	TE	3	TE	3
107	Anthony Harris	Virginia	SS	3	S	6
108	Ty Montgomery	Stanford	SWR	1	WR	15
109	Josh Shaw	USC	OCB	12	CB	16
110	Tre McBride	William & Mary	SE	8	WR	16
111	Gabe Wright	Auburn	3T	4	IDL	13
112	Stefon Diggs	Maryland	SE	9	WR	17
113	Arie Kouandjio	Alabama	OG	5	OL	19
114	David Cobb	Minnesota	RBF	11	RB	12
115	Jeremiah Poutasi	Utah	OG	6	OL	20
116	Ramik Wilson	Georgia	OFIB	6	OFB	8
117	James Sample	Louisville	SS	4	S	7
118	Anthony Chickillo	Miami (FL)	EDGE	17	EDGE	17
119	Mitch Morse	Missouri	OT	13	OL	21
120	Kurtis Drummond	Michigan St	FS	4	S	8
121	Jamison Crowder	Duke	SWR	2	WR	18
122	Jeff Heuerman	Ohio St	TE	4	TE	4
123	Jordan Hicks	Texas	OFIB	7	OFB	9
124	Davis Tull	UT-Chattanooga	EDGE	18	EDGE	18
125	Josue Matias	Florida St	OG	7	OL	22
126	Dres Anderson	Utah	SE	10	WR	19
127	B.J. Finney	Kansas St	OC	3	OL	23
128	Jacoby Glenn	Central Florida	OCB	13	CB	17
129	Tyrus Thompson	Oklahoma	OT	14	OL	24
130	Nick O’Leary	Florida St	TE	5	TE	5
131	Jake Ryan	Michigan	OFIB	8	OFB	10
132	Sean Mannion	Oregon St	QB	6	QB	6
133	John Miller	Louisville	OG	8	OL	25
134	Tony Lippett	Michigan State	FL	8	WR	20
135	Chris Conley	Georgia	SE	11	WR	21
136	Josh Harper	Fresno State	SWR	3	WR	22
137	Gerod Holliman	Louisville	FS	5	S	9
138	Christian Covington	Rice	5T	5	IDL	14
139	Frank Clark	Michigan	EDGE	19	EDGE	19
140	Darius Philon	Arkansas	3T	5	IDL	15
141	Kevin White (CB)	TCU	NCB	5	CB	18
142	Kenny Bell	Nebraska	FL	9	WR	23
143	Taiwan Jones	Michigan State	OFIB	9	OFB	11
144	Reese Dismukes	Auburn	OC	4	OL	26
145	Ibraheim Campbell	Northwestern	SS	5	S	10
146	Cameron Artis-Payne	Auburn	RBF	12	RB	13
147	Rakeem Nunez-Roches	Southern Miss	NT	6	IDL	16
148	Jarvis Harrison	Texas A&M	OG	9	OL	27
149	Kyle Emanuel	North Dakota St	EDGE	20	EDGE	20
150	Ben Heeney	Kansas	OFIB	10	OFB	12
151	Geneo Grissom	Oklahoma	EDGE	21	EDGE	21
152	Jamil Douglas	Arizona St	OG	10	OL	28
153	Antwan Goodley	Baylor	SWR	4	WR	24
154	Vince Mayle	Washington State	FL	10	WR	25
155	Max Garcia	Florida	OC	5	OL	29
156	JaCorey Shepherd	Kansas	OCB	14	CB	19
157	Darren Waller	Georgia Tech	SE	12	WR	26
158	MyCole Pruitt	Southern Illinois	TE	6	TE	6
159	Durell Eskridge	Syracuse	FS	6	S	11
160	Ben Koyack	Notre Dame	TE	7	TE	7
161	Adrian Amos	Penn St	FS	7	S	12
162	Cedric Reed	Texas	EDGE	22	EDGE	22
163	Matt Jones	Florida	RBF	13	RB	14
164	Corey Robinson	South Carolina	OT	15	OL	30
165	Andy Gallik	Boston College	OC	6	OL	31
166	Lynden Trail	Norfolk St	EDGE	23	EDGE	23
167	Max Valles	Virginia	OFOB	3	OFB	13
168	Craig Mager	Texas State	OCB	15	CB	20
169	Chris Hackett	TCU	FS	8	S	13
170	Hayes Pullard	USC	OFIB	11	OFB	14
171	Karlos Williams	Florida St	RBF	14	RB	15
172	Clayton Geathers	Central Florida	SS	6	S	14
173	Dezmin Lewis	Central Arkansas	SE	13	WR	27
174	Martrell Spaight	Arkansas	OFOB	4	OFB	15
175	Lorenzo Doss	Tulane	NCB	6	CB	21
176	Leterrius Walton	Central Michigan	NT	7	IDL	17
177	Austin Shepherd	Alabama	OG	11	OL	32
178	Jesse James	Penn State	TE	8	TE	8
179	Quandre Diggs	Texas	NCB	7	CB	22
180	Robert Myers	Tennessee State	OG	12	OL	33
181	Mike Hull	Penn State	OFIB	12	OFB	16
182	Titus Davis	Central Michigan	FL	11	WR	28
183	Terrence Magee	LSU	RBF	15	RB	16
184	Xzavier Dickson	Alabama	EDGE	24	EDGE	24
185	Tyler Varga	Yale	FB	1	RB	17
186	Jalston Fowler	Alabama	FB	2	RB	18
187	Shaquille Mason	Georgia Tech	OC	7	OL	34
188	Derrick Lott	Chattanooga	3T	6	IDL	18
189	Mario Alford	West Virginia	SWR	5	WR	29
190	Kaleb Eulls	Mississippi St	3T	7	IDL	19
191	Blake Bell	Oklahoma	TE	9	TE	9
192	Mark Glowinski	West Virginia	OG	13	OL	35
193	Sean Hickey	Syracuse	OT	16	OL	36
194	Chaz Green	Florida	OT	17	OL	37
195	Jordan Richards	Stanford	SS	7	S	15
196	Ladarius Gunter	Miami FL	OCB	16	CB	23
197	David Parry	Stanford	NT	8	IDL	20
198	Wes Saxton	South Alabama	TE	10	TE	10
199	Bryce Hager	Baylor	OFOB	5	OFB	17
200	Corey Crawford	Clemson	EDGE	25	EDGE	25
201	Nick Boyle	Delaware	TE	11	TE	11
202	Xavier Williams	Northern Iowa	NT	9	IDL	21
203	Alani Fua	BYU	OFIB	13	OFB	18
204	Bobby McCain	Memphis	NCB	8	CB	24
205	Josh Robinson	Mississippi State	RBF	16	RB	19
206	Amarlo Herrera	Georgia	OFIB	14	OFB	19
207	Ryan Russell	Purdue	EDGE	26	EDGE	26
208	Zach Hodges	Harvard	EDGE	27	EDGE	27
209	Jamon Brown	Louisville	OT	18	OL	38
210	Andrew Donnal	Iowa	OT	19	OL	39
211	Kyshoen Jarrett	Virginia Tech	SS	8	S	16
212	Austin Hill	Arizona	FL	12	WR	30
213	Laurence Gibson	Virginia Tech	OT	20	OL	40
214	Joey Mbu	Houston	NT	10	IDL	22
215	Anthony Jefferson	UCLA	SS	9	S	17
216	Darrian Miller	Kentucky	OT	21	OL	41
217	Zach Wagenmann	Montana	EDGE	28	EDGE	28
218	Jean Sifrin	Massachusetts	TE	12	TE	12
219	Nick Marshall	Auburn	OCB	17	CB	25
220	Bobby Richardson	Indiana	3T	8	IDL	23
221	Louis Trinca-Pasat	Iowa	3T	9	IDL	24
222	B.J. Dubose	Louisville	3T	10	IDL	25
223	Malcolm Brown	Texas	RBF	17	RB	20
224	Ellis McCarthy	UCLA	NT	11	IDL	26
225	Zach Zenner	South Dakota St	RBF	18	RB	21
226	Trey Williams	Texas A&M	RBC	2	RB	22
227	Rory Anderson	South Carolina	TE	13	TE	13
228	Trenton Brown	Florida	OT	22	OL	42
229	E.J. Bibbs	Iowa St	TE	14	TE	14
230	Tyeler Davison	Fresno St	NT	12	IDL	27
231	Angelo Blackson	Auburn	NT	13	IDL	28
232	Shane Carden	East Carolina	QB	7	QB	7
233	Thomas Rawls	Central Michigan	RBF	19	RB	23
234	Obum Gwacham	Oregon State	EDGE	29	EDGE	29
235	Deontay Greenberry	Houston	SE	14	WR	31
236	Tony Washington	Oregon	OFOB	6	OFB	20
237	Deion Barnes	Penn State	EDGE	30	EDGE	30
238	Damien Wilson	Minnesota	OFB	1	OFB	21
239	Ray Drew	Georgia	5T	6	IDL	29
240	Trey DePriest	Alabama	OFIB	15	OFB	22
241	Justin Coleman	Tennessee	NCB	9	CB	26
242	Terry Poole	San Diego St	OT	23	OL	43
243	Jeff Luc	Cincinnati	OFIB	16	OFB	23
244	Malcolm Agnew	Southern Illinois	RBF	20	RB	24
245	Travis Raciti	San Jose St	5T	7	IDL	30
246	DeAndre Smelter	Georgia Tech	SE	15	WR	32
247	Adam Shead	Oklahoma	OG	14	OL	44
248	Justin Cox	Mississippi St	FS	9	S	18
249	Tayo Fabuluje	TCU	OT	24	OL	45
250	Rannell Hall	UCF	SE	16	WR	33
251	Davaris Daniels	Notre Dame	FL	13	WR	34
252	Jermaine Whitehead	Auburn	FS	10	S	19
253	Imoan Claiborne	Northwestern St	NCB	10	CB	27
254	Quinton Spain	West Virginia	OG	15	OL	46
255	Damian Swann	Georgia	OCB	18	CB	28
256	Junior Sylvestre	Toledo	OFOB	7	OFB	24
257	Brian Mihalik	Boston College	5T	8	IDL	31
258	Shaquille Riddick	West Virginia	EDGE	31	EDGE	31
259	Antoine Everett	McNeese State	OG	16	OL	47
260	Deiontrez Mount	Louisville	EDGE	32	EDGE	32
261	Julian Wilson	Oklahoma	OCB	19	CB	29
262	Devante Davis	UNLV	SE	17	WR	35
263	J.R. Tavai	USC	OFIB	17	OFB	25
264	Bobby Hart	Florida State	OG	17	OL	48
265	Greg Mancz	Toledo	OC	8	OL	49
266	Quayshawne Buckley	Idaho	NT	14	IDL	32
267	Deon Simon	Northwestern St	NT	15	IDL	33
268	Vernon Johnson	Texas A&M-Commerce	FL	14	WR	36
269	Rob Crisp	North Carolina St	OT	25	OL	50
270	Deshazor Everett	Texas A&M	OCB	20	CB	30
271	Chad Hamilton	Coastal Carolina	OC	9	OL	51
272	Kyle Loomis	Portland State	P	1	P	1
273	Zach Vigil	Utah State	OFOB	8	OFB	26
274	Casey Pierce	Kent State	TE	15	TE	15
275	Steve Nelson	Oregon St	OCB	21	CB	31
276	Connor Halliday	Washington State	QB	8	QB	8
277	Erick Dargan	Oregon	SS	10	S	20
278	James O’Shaughnessy	Illinois State	TE	16	TE	16
279	Marcus Murphy	Missouri	RBC	3	RB	25
280	John Crockett	North Dakota St	RBF	21	RB	26
281	Brandon Bridge	South Alabama	QB	9	QB	9
282	Jordan Taylor	Rice	SE	18	WR	37
283	Tavaris Barnes	Clemson	5T	9	IDL	34
284	Geremy Davis	Connecticut	SE	19	WR	38
285	Cody Fajardo	Nevada	QB	10	QB	10
286	Cody Riggs	Notre Dame	OCB	22	CB	32
287	Justin Manton	Louisiana-Monroe	K	1	K	1
288	Martin Ifedi	Memphis	EDGE	33	EDGE	33
289	Jon Feliciano	Miami (FL)	OG	18	OL	52
290	Miles Dieffenbach	Penn St	OG	19	OL	53
291	J.J. Nelson	UAB	SWR	6	WR	39
292	Tevin McDonald	E Washington	FS	11	S	21
293	Akeem Hunt	Purdue	RBC	4	RB	27
294	Bryce Callahan	Rice	OCB	23	CB	33
295	B.J. Catalon	TCU	RBC	5	RB	28
296	Mark Nzeocha	Wyoming	OFOB	9	OFB	27
297	Josh Watson	Clemson	3T	11	IDL	35
298	Edmond Robinson	Newberry	OFOB	10	OFB	28
299	Cody Wichmann	Fresno State	OG	20	OL	54
300	Levi Norwood	Baylor	SE	20	WR	40

Go to top.
Go to consensus board.
Go to forecaster board.
Go to evaluator board.
Go to alternate boards.

Evaluator Board

And here’s the evaluator board. I added some boards at the last minute here, so there may be some discrepancies between the rank of a player here and the rank for that player mentioned above in the evaluator ranks in the “biggest differences/agreements” rankings.

Rank	Player	School	Role	Role Rk	Position	Pos Rk
1	Leonard Williams	USC	5T	1	IDL	1
2	Jameis Winston	Florida St	QB	1	QB	1
3	Marcus Mariota	Oregon	QB	2	QB	2
4	Amari Cooper	Alabama	FL	1	WR	1
5	Dante Fowler Jr.	Florida	EDGE	1	EDGE	1
6	Kevin White (WR)	West Virginia	SE	1	WR	2
7	Vic Beasley	Clemson	EDGE	2	EDGE	2
8	Brandon Scherff	Iowa	OT	1	OL	1
9	Todd Gurley	Georgia	RBF	1	RB	1
10	Randy Gregory	Nebraska	EDGE	3	EDGE	3
11	DeVante Parker	Louisville	SE	2	WR	3
12	Alvin Dupree	Kentucky	EDGE	4	EDGE	4
13	Danny Shelton	Washington	NT	1	IDL	2
14	La’el Collins	LSU	OT	2	OL	2
15	Marcus Peters	Washington	OCB	1	CB	1
16	Trae Waynes	Michigan St	OCB	2	CB	2
17	Shane Ray	Missouri	EDGE	5	EDGE	5
18	Melvin Gordon	Wisconsin	RBF	2	RB	2
19	Malcom Brown	Texas	NT	2	IDL	3
20	Landon Collins	Alabama	SS	1	S	1
21	Andrus Peat	Stanford	OT	3	OL	3
22	Eddie Goldman	Florida St	NT	3	IDL	4
23	Cameron Erving	Florida St	OC	1	OL	4
24	Kevin Johnson	Wake Forest	OCB	3	CB	3
25	Eric Kendricks	UCLA	OFOB	1	OFB	1
26	Shaq Thompson	Washington	OFOB	2	OFB	2
27	Jaelen Strong	Arizona St	FL	2	WR	4
28	Ereck Flowers	Miami (FL)	OT	4	OL	5
29	Arik Armstead	Oregon	5T	2	IDL	5
30	D.J. Humphries	Florida	OT	5	OL	6
31	Jake Fisher	Oregon	OT	6	OL	7
32	T.J. Clemmings	Pittsburgh	OT	7	OL	8
33	Dorial Green-Beckham	Missouri	SE	3	WR	5
34	Eli Harold	Virginia	EDGE	6	EDGE	6
35	Owamagbe Odighizuwa	UCLA	EDGE	7	EDGE	7
36	Maxx Williams	Minnesota	TE	1	TE	1
37	Byron Jones	Connecticut	OCB	4	CB	4
38	Jalen Collins	LSU	OCB	5	CB	5
39	Nelson Agholor	USC	FL	3	WR	6
40	Breshad Perriman	Central Florida	SE	4	WR	7
41	Michael Bennett (DT)	Ohio St	3T	1	IDL	6
42	Carl Davis	Iowa	NT	4	IDL	7
43	Preston Smith	Mississippi St	EDGE	8	EDGE	8
44	Jordan Phillips	Oklahoma	NT	5	IDL	8
45	Jay Ajayi	Boise St	RBF	3	RB	3
46	Cedric Ogbuehi	Texas A&M	OT	8	OL	9
47	P.J. Williams	Florida St	OCB	6	CB	6
48	Benardrick McKinney	Mississippi St	OFIB	1	OFB	3
49	Devin Funchess	Michigan	SE	5	WR	8
50	Devin Smith	Ohio State	SE	6	WR	9
51	Phillip Dorsett	Miami (FL)	SE	7	WR	10
52	Eric Rowe	Utah	OCB	7	CB	7
53	Laken Tomlinson	Duke	OG	2	OL	11
54	A.J. Cann	South Carolina	OG	1	OL	10
55	Paul Dawson	TCU	OFIB	2	OFB	4
56	Tevin Coleman	Indiana	RBF	4	RB	4
57	Ronald Darby	Florida St	OCB	8	CB	8
58	Duke Johnson	Miami (FL)	RBF	5	RB	5
59	Denzel Perryman	Miami (FL)	OFIB	3	OFB	5
60	Danielle Hunter	LSU	EDGE	9	EDGE	9
61	Quinten Rollins	Miami (OH)	OCB	9	CB	9
62	Ameer Abdullah	Nebraska	RBF	6	RB	6
63	Stephone Anthony	Clemson	OFIB	4	OFB	6
64	Nate Orchard	Utah	EDGE	10	EDGE	10
65	Brett Hundley	UCLA	QB	3	QB	3
66	Mario Edwards Jr.	Florida St	EDGE	11	EDGE	11
67	T.J. Yeldon	Alabama	RBF	7	RB	7
68	Ifo Ekpre-Olomu	Oregon	NCB	1	CB	10
69	Clive Walford	Miami (FL)	TE	2	TE	2
70	Sammie Coates	Auburn	FL	4	WR	11
71	Damarious Randall	Arizona State	FS	1	S	2
72	Ty Sambrailo	Colorado St	OT	9	OL	12
73	Henry Anderson	Stanford	5T	3	IDL	9
74	Trey Flowers	Arkansas	EDGE	12	EDGE	12
75	Tyler Lockett	Kansas St	FL	5	WR	12
76	Hau’oli Kikaha	Washington	EDGE	13	EDGE	13
77	Grady Jarrett	Clemson	3T	2	IDL	11
78	Alex Carter	Stanford	OCB	10	CB	11
79	David Johnson	Northern Iowa	RBC	1	RB	8
80	Tre’ Jackson	Florida St	OG	3	OL	13
81	Rashad Greene	Florida St	FL	6	WR	13
82	Xavier Cooper	Washington St	5T	4	IDL	10
83	Ali Marpet	Hobart	OG	4	OL	14
84	David Cobb	Minnesota	RBF	8	RB	9
85	Josh Shaw	USC	OCB	11	CB	12
86	D’Joun Smith	Florida Atlantic	NCB	2	CB	13
87	Jaquiski Tartt	Samford	SS	2	S	4
88	Donovan Smith	Penn St	OT	10	OL	15
89	Justin Hardy	East Carolina	FL	7	WR	14
90	Derron Smith	Fresno St	FS	2	S	3
91	Mike Davis	South Carolina	RBF	9	RB	10
92	Tre McBride	William & Mary	SE	8	WR	15
93	Hroniss Grasu	Oregon	OC	2	OL	17
94	Lorenzo Mauldin	Louisville	EDGE	14	EDGE	14
95	Daryl Williams	Oklahoma	OT	11	OL	16
96	Senquez Golson	Ole Miss	NCB	3	CB	14
97	Bryce Petty	Baylor	QB	4	QB	4
98	Jeff Heuerman	Ohio St	TE	3	TE	3
99	Markus Golden	Missouri	EDGE	15	EDGE	15
100	Doran Grant	Ohio State	OCB	12	CB	15
101	Kwon Alexander	LSU	OFIB	5	OFB	7
102	Gerod Holliman	Louisville	FS	4	S	6
103	Jeremiah Poutasi	Utah	OG	5	OL	18
104	Kevin White (CB)	TCU	NCB	4	CB	16
105	Cody Prewitt	Ole Miss	FS	3	S	5
106	John Miller	Louisville	OG	7	OL	20
107	Jamison Crowder	Duke	SWR	1	WR	16
108	Arie Kouandjio	Alabama	OG	6	OL	19
109	Rob Havenstein	Wisconsin	OT	12	OL	21
110	Za’Darius Smith	Kentucky	EDGE	16	EDGE	16
111	Ben Heeney	Kansas	OFIB	6	OFB	8
112	Garrett Grayson	Colorado State	QB	5	QB	5
113	James Sample	Louisville	SS	4	S	8
114	Anthony Harris	Virginia	SS	3	S	7
115	Gabe Wright	Auburn	3T	3	IDL	12
116	Javorius Allen	USC	RBF	10	RB	11
117	Jeremy Langford	Michigan St	RBF	11	RB	12
118	Chris Conley	Georgia	SE	9	WR	17
119	Andy Gallik	Boston College	OC	4	OL	23
120	Marcus Hardison	Arizona St	3T	4	IDL	14
121	Ben Koyack	Notre Dame	TE	4	TE	4
122	Tyler Kroft	Rutgers	TE	5	TE	5
123	Tony Lippett	Michigan State	FL	8	WR	18
124	Reese Dismukes	Auburn	OC	3	OL	22
125	Anthony Chickillo	Miami (FL)	EDGE	17	EDGE	17
126	Adrian Amos	Penn St	FS	7	S	12
127	Jordan Hicks	Texas	OFIB	7	OFB	10
128	Shaquille Mason	Georgia Tech	OC	5	OL	24
129	Zach Hodges	Harvard	EDGE	18	EDGE	18
130	Jarvis Harrison	Texas A&M	OG	8	OL	26
131	Antwan Goodley	Baylor	SWR	3	WR	20
132	Charles Gaines	Louisville	NCB	6	CB	19
133	Christian Covington	Rice	5T	5	IDL	13
134	Ibraheim Campbell	Northwestern	SS	5	S	9
135	Ramik Wilson	Georgia	OFIB	9	OFB	12
136	Max Valles	Virginia	OFOB	3	OFB	9
137	Kurtis Drummond	Michigan St	FS	6	S	11
138	Tyeler Davison	Fresno St	NT	6	IDL	15
139	Ty Montgomery	Stanford	SWR	2	WR	19
140	Lorenzo Doss	Tulane	NCB	5	CB	18
141	Josh Harper	Fresno State	SWR	4	WR	21
142	Hayes Pullard	USC	OFIB	8	OFB	11
143	Josue Matias	Florida St	OG	10	OL	28
144	Jacoby Glenn	Central Florida	OCB	13	CB	17
145	Tyrus Thompson	Oklahoma	OT	13	OL	25
146	Dezmin Lewis	Central Arkansas	SE	11	WR	25
147	Jamil Douglas	Arizona St	OG	9	OL	27
148	Kenny Bell	Nebraska	FL	9	WR	22
149	Quandre Diggs	Texas	NCB	7	CB	20
150	Jesse James	Penn State	TE	6	TE	6
151	Taiwan Jones	Michigan State	OFIB	11	OFB	15
152	Nick O’Leary	Florida St	TE	7	TE	7
153	Craig Mager	Texas State	OCB	14	CB	22
154	Vince Mayle	Washington State	FL	10	WR	23
155	Cameron Artis-Payne	Auburn	RBF	13	RB	14
156	Sean Hickey	Syracuse	OT	15	OL	30
157	B.J. Finney	Kansas St	OC	6	OL	31
158	Rakeem Nunez-Roches	Southern Miss	NT	8	IDL	17
159	Corey Robinson	South Carolina	OT	14	OL	29
160	MyCole Pruitt	Southern Illinois	TE	9	TE	9
161	Chris Hackett	TCU	FS	5	S	10
162	Josh Robinson	Mississippi State	RBF	12	RB	13
163	Malcolm Brown	Texas	RBF	14	RB	15
164	DeAndre Smelter	Georgia Tech	SE	14	WR	29
165	Justin Coleman	Tennessee	NCB	8	CB	21
166	Mike Hull	Penn State	OFIB	10	OFB	13
167	Durell Eskridge	Syracuse	FS	8	S	13
168	Stefon Diggs	Maryland	SE	10	WR	24
169	Jake Ryan	Michigan	OFIB	12	OFB	17
170	Martrell Spaight	Arkansas	OFOB	4	OFB	14
171	Blake Bell	Oklahoma	TE	8	TE	8
172	Bobby McCain	Memphis	NCB	9	CB	24
173	Frank Clark	Michigan	EDGE	24	EDGE	24
174	Joey Mbu	Houston	NT	9	IDL	19
175	Davis Tull	UT-Chattanooga	EDGE	22	EDGE	22
176	Karlos Williams	Florida St	RBF	16	RB	17
177	Ellis McCarthy	UCLA	NT	7	IDL	16
178	Mitch Morse	Missouri	OT	16	OL	32
179	Clayton Geathers	Central Florida	SS	6	S	14
180	Cedric Reed	Texas	EDGE	19	EDGE	19
181	Darius Philon	Arkansas	3T	5	IDL	18
182	Wes Saxton	South Alabama	TE	12	TE	12
183	Lynden Trail	Norfolk St	EDGE	20	EDGE	20
184	Matt Jones	Florida	RBF	15	RB	16
185	Xavier Williams	Northern Iowa	NT	10	IDL	20
186	Ladarius Gunter	Miami FL	OCB	15	CB	23
187	Damian Swann	Georgia	OCB	17	CB	26
188	Dres Anderson	Utah	SE	12	WR	26
189	Titus Davis	Central Michigan	FL	11	WR	27
190	Nick Marshall	Auburn	OCB	16	CB	25
191	Geneo Grissom	Oklahoma	EDGE	21	EDGE	21
192	Sean Mannion	Oregon St	QB	6	QB	6
193	Devante Davis	UNLV	SE	13	WR	28
194	Mark Glowinski	West Virginia	OG	13	OL	36
195	Tony Washington	Oregon	OFOB	5	OFB	16
196	Jean Sifrin	Massachusetts	TE	10	TE	10
197	Derrick Lott	Chattanooga	3T	6	IDL	21
198	Max Garcia	Florida	OC	7	OL	34
199	Darren Waller	Georgia Tech	SE	17	WR	33
200	JaCorey Shepherd	Kansas	OCB	18	CB	27
201	Corey Crawford	Clemson	EDGE	23	EDGE	23
202	John Crockett	North Dakota St	RBF	17	RB	19
203	Jalston Fowler	Alabama	FB	1	RB	18
204	Bobby Richardson	Indiana	3T	7	IDL	22
205	Robert Myers	Tennessee State	OG	11	OL	33
206	Bryce Hager	Baylor	OFOB	6	OFB	18
207	Jordan Richards	Stanford	SS	7	S	15
208	Andrew Donnal	Iowa	OT	17	OL	37
209	Rannell Hall	UCF	SE	15	WR	31
210	Adam Shead	Oklahoma	OG	12	OL	35
211	Nick Boyle	Delaware	TE	13	TE	13
212	Jamon Brown	Louisville	OT	18	OL	38
213	Austin Hill	Arizona	FL	12	WR	30
214	Louis Trinca-Pasat	Iowa	3T	8	IDL	23
215	Leterrius Walton	Central Michigan	NT	11	IDL	24
216	Rory Anderson	South Carolina	TE	15	TE	15
217	Greg Mancz	Toledo	OC	8	OL	40
218	Quinton Spain	West Virginia	OG	17	OL	44
219	E.J. Bibbs	Iowa St	TE	11	TE	11
220	Terrence Magee	LSU	RBF	18	RB	20
221	Deontay Greenberry	Houston	SE	16	WR	32
222	Bryce Callahan	Rice	OCB	19	CB	28
223	Shaquille Riddick	West Virginia	EDGE	25	EDGE	25
224	Terry Poole	San Diego St	OT	19	OL	39
225	Kyle Emanuel	North Dakota St	EDGE	29	EDGE	29
226	Martin Ifedi	Memphis	EDGE	26	EDGE	26
227	Jeff Luc	Cincinnati	OFIB	15	OFB	21
228	Tyler Varga	Yale	FB	2	RB	22
229	Austin Shepherd	Alabama	OG	14	OL	41
230	Justin Cox	Mississippi St	FS	9	S	16
231	Amarlo Herrera	Georgia	OFIB	13	OFB	19
232	Imoan Claiborne	Northwestern St	NCB	10	CB	29
233	Tevin McDonald	E Washington	FS	10	S	17
234	Tayo Fabuluje	TCU	OT	20	OL	45
235	Deion Barnes	Penn State	EDGE	27	EDGE	27
236	Trey Williams	Texas A&M	RBC	2	RB	23
237	Cam Thomas	Western Kentucky	OCB	20	CB	30
238	Alani Fua	BYU	OFIB	16	OFB	22
239	Deon Long	Maryland	SE	18	WR	34
240	Anthony Jefferson	UCLA	SS	8	S	18
241	Dominique Brown	Louisville	RBF	19	RB	21
242	Kyshoen Jarrett	Virginia Tech	SS	9	S	19
243	Geremy Davis	Connecticut	SE	20	WR	40
244	Terry Williams	East Carolina	NT	13	IDL	28
245	Deon Simon	Northwestern St	NT	12	IDL	26
246	Jon Feliciano	Miami (FL)	OG	15	OL	42
247	Rob Crisp	North Carolina St	OT	27	OL	56
248	Ryan Russell	Purdue	EDGE	31	EDGE	31
249	Travis Raciti	San Jose St	5T	6	IDL	25
250	Trey DePriest	Alabama	OFIB	14	OFB	20
251	Deiontrez Mount	Louisville	EDGE	32	EDGE	32
252	Shane Carden	East Carolina	QB	9	QB	9
253	Brandon Bridge	South Alabama	QB	8	QB	8
254	Zach Vigil	Utah State	OFOB	7	OFB	23
255	Miles Dieffenbach	Penn St	OG	16	OL	43
256	Ryan Delaire	Towson	EDGE	30	EDGE	30
257	Mario Alford	West Virginia	SWR	5	WR	38
258	Cody Fajardo	Nevada	QB	7	QB	7
259	Zach Zenner	South Dakota St	RBF	21	RB	26
260	Xzavier Dickson	Alabama	EDGE	28	EDGE	28
261	Detrick Bonner	Virginia Tech	FS	14	S	24
262	Kaleb Eulls	Mississippi St	3T	9	IDL	27
263	Ray Drew	Georgia	5T	7	IDL	30
264	Cedric Thompson	Minnesota	FS	11	S	20
265	Bobby Hart	Florida State	OG	20	OL	50
266	Gerald Christian	Louisville	TE	14	TE	14
267	Eric Lefeld	Cincinnati	OT	21	OL	46
268	Kasen Williams	Washington	FL	14	WR	36
269	Bryan Bennett	Southeastern Louisiana	QB	10	QB	10
270	Davaris Daniels	Notre Dame	FL	13	WR	35
271	Trenton Brown	Florida	OT	22	OL	49
272	Deshazor Everett	Texas A&M	OCB	22	CB	32
273	Taylor Heinicke	Old Dominion	QB	12	QB	12
274	Ben Beckwith	Mississippi St	OG	18	OL	47
275	Darrian Miller	Kentucky	OT	26	OL	55
276	Chucky Hunter	TCU	3T	10	IDL	32
277	James Castleman	Oklahoma St	NT	18	IDL	37
278	Sam Carter	TCU	SS	10	S	21
279	Darius Kilgo	Maryland	NT	16	IDL	33
280	Chris Bonner	Colorado State-Pueblo	QB	13	QB	13
281	Angelo Blackson	Auburn	NT	15	IDL	31
282	Takoby Cofield	Duke	OG	19	OL	48
283	Dean Marlowe	James Madison	FS	12	S	22
284	Chaz Green	Florida	OT	25	OL	53
285	Michael Dyer	Louisville	RBF	20	RB	24
286	Connor Halliday	Washington State	QB	14	QB	14
287	Damien Wilson	Minnesota	OFB	1	OFB	25
288	Blake Sims	Alabama	QB	11	QB	11
289	Steve Nelson	Oregon St	OCB	23	CB	33
290	Antoine Everett	McNeese State	OG	22	OL	57
291	James Vaughters	Stanford	EDGE	33	EDGE	33
292	Erick Dargan	Oregon	SS	13	S	27
293	Bernard Blake	Colorado State	OCB	24	CB	34
294	A.J. Derby	Arkansas	TE	18	TE	18
295	DeAndrew White	Alabama	FL	16	WR	44
296	Edmond Robinson	Newberry	OFOB	8	OFB	26
297	Julian Wilson	Oklahoma	OCB	21	CB	31
298	J.R. Tavai	USC	OFIB	17	OFB	24
299	Randall Telfer	USC	TE	16	TE	16
300	David Parry	Stanford	NT	17	IDL	36

Choose either board and make them your own. Or look at the few ways we can create consensus boards.

Go to top.
Go to consensus board.
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Updated Consensus Boards

Logarithmic Points Board

The method I’ve been using this year is different than last year in order to create a consensus. In my mind, it naturally reduces the impact of outliers, but really it is designed to reflect the fact that the process of putting a player number one on a board is a big thing—identifying the best player among thousands is significantly more meaningful than the third-best.

In this case, I gave each player points for each rank they got, indexed to the draft value chart—which generally follows a logarithmic point distribution. I made some modifications so that players in the top 500 of any board would get points, not just the top 224.

Adding those points up and ranking players that way made sense to me (and is also part of the reason Winston ranks second)—a player who ranks first and third (3001 and 2434 points on this modified chart) on two different boards would have more points than a player who ranks second on two different boards (2643 points twice on this chart—5286 points are less than 5435).

The difference is not so extreme that a player who consistently ranks second cannot beat a player who gets ranked first often while also getting ranks in the 30s almost as often, but it still privileges players who caught the eye of evaluators more than those who had a ceiling.

With every analyst’s board weighted equally, this is what we end up with using a logarithmic points distribution:

Rank	Player	School	Role	Role Rk	Position	Pos Rk
1	Leonard Williams	USC	5T	1	IDL	1
2	Jameis Winston	Florida St	QB	1	QB	1
3	Marcus Mariota	Oregon	QB	2	QB	2
4	Amari Cooper	Alabama	FL	1	WR	1
5	Dante Fowler Jr.	Florida	EDGE	1	EDGE	1
6	Kevin White (WR)	West Virginia	SE	1	WR	2
7	Brandon Scherff	Iowa	OT	1	OL	1
8	Vic Beasley	Clemson	EDGE	2	EDGE	2
9	Todd Gurley	Georgia	RBF	1	RB	1
10	Randy Gregory	Nebraska	EDGE	3	EDGE	3
11	DeVante Parker	Louisville	SE	2	WR	3
12	Alvin Dupree	Kentucky	EDGE	4	EDGE	4
13	Danny Shelton	Washington	NT	1	IDL	2
14	Trae Waynes	Michigan St	OCB	1	CB	1
15	Shane Ray	Missouri	EDGE	5	EDGE	5
16	La’el Collins	LSU	OT	2	OL	2
17	Melvin Gordon	Wisconsin	RBF	2	RB	2
18	Marcus Peters	Washington	OCB	2	CB	2
19	Malcom Brown	Texas	NT	2	IDL	3
20	Landon Collins	Alabama	SS	1	S	1
21	Andrus Peat	Stanford	OT	3	OL	3
22	Eddie Goldman	Florida St	NT	3	IDL	4
23	Arik Armstead	Oregon	5T	2	IDL	5
24	Ereck Flowers	Miami (FL)	OT	4	OL	4
25	Cameron Erving	Florida St	OC	1	OL	5
26	Kevin Johnson	Wake Forest	OCB	3	CB	3
27	Eric Kendricks	UCLA	OFOB	1	OFB	1
28	Jaelen Strong	Arizona St	FL	2	WR	4
29	Shaq Thompson	Washington	OFOB	2	OFB	2
30	D.J. Humphries	Florida	OT	5	OL	6
31	T.J. Clemmings	Pittsburgh	OT	6	OL	7
32	Eli Harold	Virginia	EDGE	6	EDGE	6
33	Dorial Green-Beckham	Missouri	SE	3	WR	5
34	Jake Fisher	Oregon	OT	7	OL	8
35	Owamagbe Odighizuwa	UCLA	EDGE	7	EDGE	7
36	Jalen Collins	LSU	OCB	4	CB	4
37	Maxx Williams	Minnesota	TE	1	TE	1
38	Breshad Perriman	Central Florida	SE	4	WR	6
39	Byron Jones	Connecticut	OCB	5	CB	5
40	Nelson Agholor	USC	FL	3	WR	7
41	Jordan Phillips	Oklahoma	NT	4	IDL	6
42	Carl Davis	Iowa	NT	5	IDL	7
43	Preston Smith	Mississippi St	EDGE	8	EDGE	8
44	Michael Bennett (DT)	Ohio St	3T	1	IDL	8
45	Jay Ajayi	Boise St	RBF	3	RB	3
46	Benardrick McKinney	Mississippi St	OFIB	1	OFB	3
47	Cedric Ogbuehi	Texas A&M	OT	8	OL	9
48	P.J. Williams	Florida St	OCB	6	CB	6
49	Phillip Dorsett	Miami (FL)	SE	5	WR	8
50	Devin Smith	Ohio State	SE	6	WR	9
51	Devin Funchess	Michigan	SE	7	WR	10
52	Tevin Coleman	Indiana	RBF	4	RB	4
53	A.J. Cann	South Carolina	OG	1	OL	10
54	Ronald Darby	Florida St	OCB	7	CB	7
55	Duke Johnson	Miami (FL)	RBF	5	RB	5
56	Laken Tomlinson	Duke	OG	2	OL	11
57	Paul Dawson	TCU	OFIB	2	OFB	4
58	Denzel Perryman	Miami (FL)	OFIB	3	OFB	5
59	Ameer Abdullah	Nebraska	RBF	6	RB	6
60	Quinten Rollins	Miami (OH)	OCB	8	CB	8
61	Danielle Hunter	LSU	EDGE	9	EDGE	9
62	Nate Orchard	Utah	EDGE	10	EDGE	10
63	Eric Rowe	Utah	OCB	9	CB	9
64	Stephone Anthony	Clemson	OFIB	4	OFB	6
65	Sammie Coates	Auburn	FL	4	WR	11
66	Brett Hundley	UCLA	QB	3	QB	3
67	T.J. Yeldon	Alabama	RBF	7	RB	7
68	Mario Edwards Jr.	Florida St	EDGE	11	EDGE	11
69	Clive Walford	Miami (FL)	TE	2	TE	2
70	Ifo Ekpre-Olomu	Oregon	NCB	1	CB	10
71	Grady Jarrett	Clemson	3T	2	IDL	9
72	Tyler Lockett	Kansas St	FL	5	WR	12
73	Hau’oli Kikaha	Washington	EDGE	12	EDGE	12
74	Tre’ Jackson	Florida St	OG	3	OL	12
75	Ty Sambrailo	Colorado St	OT	9	OL	13
76	Rashad Greene	Florida St	FL	6	WR	13
77	Henry Anderson	Stanford	5T	3	IDL	10
78	Alex Carter	Stanford	OCB	10	CB	11
79	Damarious Randall	Arizona State	FS	1	S	2
80	Trey Flowers	Arkansas	EDGE	13	EDGE	13
81	David Johnson	Northern Iowa	RBC	1	RB	8
82	Ali Marpet	Hobart	OG	4	OL	14
83	Xavier Cooper	Washington St	5T	4	IDL	11
84	Donovan Smith	Penn St	OT	10	OL	15
85	Hroniss Grasu	Oregon	OC	2	OL	16
86	Jaquiski Tartt	Samford	SS	2	S	3
87	David Cobb	Minnesota	RBF	8	RB	9
88	D’Joun Smith	Florida Atlantic	NCB	2	CB	12
89	Lorenzo Mauldin	Louisville	EDGE	14	EDGE	14
90	Justin Hardy	East Carolina	FL	7	WR	14
91	Josh Shaw	USC	OCB	11	CB	13
92	Derron Smith	Fresno St	FS	2	S	4
93	Mike Davis	South Carolina	RBF	9	RB	10
94	Senquez Golson	Ole Miss	NCB	3	CB	14
95	Tre McBride	William & Mary	SE	8	WR	15
96	Bryce Petty	Baylor	QB	4	QB	4
97	Daryl Williams	Oklahoma	OT	11	OL	17
98	Markus Golden	Missouri	EDGE	15	EDGE	15
99	Doran Grant	Ohio State	OCB	12	CB	15
100	Jeff Heuerman	Ohio St	TE	3	TE	3
101	Kwon Alexander	LSU	OFIB	5	OFB	7
102	Cody Prewitt	Ole Miss	FS	3	S	5
103	Garrett Grayson	Colorado State	QB	5	QB	5
104	Za’Darius Smith	Kentucky	EDGE	16	EDGE	16
105	Jeremiah Poutasi	Utah	OG	5	OL	18
106	Rob Havenstein	Wisconsin	OT	12	OL	19
107	Arie Kouandjio	Alabama	OG	6	OL	20
108	Jeremy Langford	Michigan St	RBF	10	RB	11
109	Gerod Holliman	Louisville	FS	4	S	6
110	Anthony Harris	Virginia	SS	3	S	7
111	Jamison Crowder	Duke	SWR	1	WR	16
112	Gabe Wright	Auburn	3T	3	IDL	12
113	Javorius Allen	USC	RBF	11	RB	12
114	Kevin White (CB)	TCU	NCB	4	CB	16
115	John Miller	Louisville	OG	7	OL	21
116	James Sample	Louisville	SS	4	S	8
117	Marcus Hardison	Arizona St	3T	4	IDL	13
118	Tyler Kroft	Rutgers	TE	4	TE	4
119	Ben Heeney	Kansas	OFIB	6	OFB	8
120	Anthony Chickillo	Miami (FL)	EDGE	17	EDGE	17
121	Charles Gaines	Louisville	NCB	5	CB	17
122	Tony Lippett	Michigan State	FL	8	WR	17
123	Chris Conley	Georgia	SE	9	WR	18
124	Ty Montgomery	Stanford	SWR	2	WR	19
125	Jordan Hicks	Texas	OFIB	7	OFB	9
126	Ramik Wilson	Georgia	OFIB	8	OFB	10
127	Reese Dismukes	Auburn	OC	3	OL	22
128	Kurtis Drummond	Michigan St	FS	5	S	9
129	Ben Koyack	Notre Dame	TE	5	TE	5
130	Ibraheim Campbell	Northwestern	SS	5	S	10
131	Christian Covington	Rice	5T	5	IDL	14
132	Josh Harper	Fresno State	SWR	3	WR	20
133	Andy Gallik	Boston College	OC	4	OL	23
134	Jarvis Harrison	Texas A&M	OG	8	OL	24
135	Josue Matias	Florida St	OG	9	OL	25
136	Adrian Amos	Penn St	FS	6	S	11
137	Tyrus Thompson	Oklahoma	OT	13	OL	26
138	Jacoby Glenn	Central Florida	OCB	13	CB	18
139	Antwan Goodley	Baylor	SWR	4	WR	21
140	Nick O’Leary	Florida St	TE	6	TE	6
141	Max Valles	Virginia	OFOB	3	OFB	11
142	Kenny Bell	Nebraska	FL	9	WR	22
143	B.J. Finney	Kansas St	OC	5	OL	27
144	Stefon Diggs	Maryland	SE	10	WR	23
145	Zach Hodges	Harvard	EDGE	18	EDGE	18
146	Shaquille Mason	Georgia Tech	OC	6	OL	28
147	Jamil Douglas	Arizona St	OG	10	OL	29
148	Cameron Artis-Payne	Auburn	RBF	12	RB	13
149	Hayes Pullard	USC	OFIB	9	OFB	12
150	Taiwan Jones	Michigan State	OFIB	10	OFB	13
151	Lorenzo Doss	Tulane	NCB	6	CB	19
152	Dezmin Lewis	Central Arkansas	SE	11	WR	24
153	Rakeem Nunez-Roches	Southern Miss	NT	6	IDL	15
154	Davis Tull	UT-Chattanooga	EDGE	19	EDGE	19
155	Vince Mayle	Washington State	FL	10	WR	25
156	MyCole Pruitt	Southern Illinois	TE	7	TE	7
157	Jake Ryan	Michigan	OFIB	11	OFB	14
158	Jesse James	Penn State	TE	8	TE	8
159	Mitch Morse	Missouri	OT	14	OL	30
160	Craig Mager	Texas State	OCB	14	CB	20
161	Quandre Diggs	Texas	NCB	7	CB	21
162	Frank Clark	Michigan	EDGE	20	EDGE	20
163	Corey Robinson	South Carolina	OT	15	OL	31
164	Tyeler Davison	Fresno St	NT	7	IDL	16
165	Durell Eskridge	Syracuse	FS	7	S	12
166	Darius Philon	Arkansas	3T	5	IDL	17
167	Dres Anderson	Utah	SE	12	WR	26
168	Chris Hackett	TCU	FS	8	S	13
169	Sean Mannion	Oregon St	QB	6	QB	6
170	Sean Hickey	Syracuse	OT	16	OL	32
171	Mike Hull	Penn State	OFIB	12	OFB	15
172	Geneo Grissom	Oklahoma	EDGE	21	EDGE	21
173	Clayton Geathers	Central Florida	SS	6	S	14
174	Lynden Trail	Norfolk St	EDGE	22	EDGE	22
175	Cedric Reed	Texas	EDGE	23	EDGE	23
176	Karlos Williams	Florida St	RBF	13	RB	14
177	Martrell Spaight	Arkansas	OFOB	4	OFB	16
178	Matt Jones	Florida	RBF	14	RB	15
179	Blake Bell	Oklahoma	TE	9	TE	9
180	Josh Robinson	Mississippi State	RBF	15	RB	16
181	Malcolm Brown	Texas	RBF	16	RB	17
182	Wes Saxton	South Alabama	TE	10	TE	10
183	Bobby McCain	Memphis	NCB	8	CB	22
184	Justin Coleman	Tennessee	NCB	9	CB	23
185	JaCorey Shepherd	Kansas	OCB	15	CB	24
186	Ladarius Gunter	Miami FL	OCB	16	CB	25
187	Xavier Williams	Northern Iowa	NT	8	IDL	18
188	Ellis McCarthy	UCLA	NT	9	IDL	19
189	Joey Mbu	Houston	NT	10	IDL	20
190	Titus Davis	Central Michigan	FL	11	WR	27
191	Max Garcia	Florida	OC	7	OL	33
192	DeAndre Smelter	Georgia Tech	SE	13	WR	28
193	Darren Waller	Georgia Tech	SE	14	WR	29
194	Mark Glowinski	West Virginia	OG	11	OL	34
195	Jalston Fowler	Alabama	FB	1	RB	18
196	Derrick Lott	Chattanooga	3T	6	IDL	21
197	Corey Crawford	Clemson	EDGE	24	EDGE	24
198	Kyle Emanuel	North Dakota St	EDGE	25	EDGE	25
199	Robert Myers	Tennessee State	OG	12	OL	35
200	Nick Marshall	Auburn	OCB	17	CB	26
201	Jean Sifrin	Massachusetts	TE	11	TE	11
202	Jordan Richards	Stanford	SS	7	S	15
203	Damian Swann	Georgia	OCB	18	CB	27
204	Leterrius Walton	Central Michigan	NT	11	IDL	22
205	Bryce Hager	Baylor	OFOB	5	OFB	17
206	Tony Washington	Oregon	OFOB	6	OFB	18
207	Terrence Magee	LSU	RBF	17	RB	19
208	Devante Davis	UNLV	SE	15	WR	30
209	Bobby Richardson	Indiana	3T	7	IDL	23
210	Andrew Donnal	Iowa	OT	17	OL	36
211	Tyler Varga	Yale	FB	2	RB	20
212	Nick Boyle	Delaware	TE	12	TE	12
213	Jamon Brown	Louisville	OT	18	OL	37
214	Austin Shepherd	Alabama	OG	13	OL	38
215	Austin Hill	Arizona	FL	12	WR	31
216	E.J. Bibbs	Iowa St	TE	13	TE	13
217	Louis Trinca-Pasat	Iowa	3T	8	IDL	24
218	John Crockett	North Dakota St	RBF	18	RB	21
219	Rory Anderson	South Carolina	TE	14	TE	14
220	Rannell Hall	UCF	SE	16	WR	32
221	Adam Shead	Oklahoma	OG	14	OL	39
222	Amarlo Herrera	Georgia	OFIB	13	OFB	19
223	Deontay Greenberry	Houston	SE	17	WR	33
224	Quinton Spain	West Virginia	OG	15	OL	40
225	Xzavier Dickson	Alabama	EDGE	26	EDGE	26
226	Justin Cox	Mississippi St	FS	9	S	16
227	Greg Mancz	Toledo	OC	8	OL	41
228	Terry Poole	San Diego St	OT	19	OL	42
229	Shaquille Riddick	West Virginia	EDGE	27	EDGE	27
230	Jeff Luc	Cincinnati	OFIB	14	OFB	20
231	Alani Fua	BYU	OFIB	15	OFB	21
232	Trey Williams	Texas A&M	RBC	2	RB	22
233	Mario Alford	West Virginia	SWR	5	WR	34
234	Anthony Jefferson	UCLA	SS	8	S	17
235	Deion Barnes	Penn State	EDGE	28	EDGE	28
236	Bryce Callahan	Rice	OCB	19	CB	28
237	Kaleb Eulls	Mississippi St	3T	9	IDL	25
238	Tayo Fabuluje	TCU	OT	20	OL	43
239	Kyshoen Jarrett	Virginia Tech	SS	9	S	18
240	Ryan Russell	Purdue	EDGE	29	EDGE	29
241	Imoan Claiborne	Northwestern St	NCB	10	CB	29
242	Martin Ifedi	Memphis	EDGE	30	EDGE	30
243	Zach Zenner	South Dakota St	RBF	19	RB	23
244	Tevin McDonald	E Washington	FS	10	S	19
245	Shane Carden	East Carolina	QB	7	QB	7
246	Deiontrez Mount	Louisville	EDGE	31	EDGE	31
247	Trey DePriest	Alabama	OFIB	16	OFB	22
248	Travis Raciti	San Jose St	5T	6	IDL	26
249	Chaz Green	Florida	OT	21	OL	44
250	Deon Simon	Northwestern St	NT	12	IDL	27
251	Darrian Miller	Kentucky	OT	22	OL	45
252	Ray Drew	Georgia	5T	7	IDL	28
253	Rob Crisp	North Carolina St	OT	23	OL	46
254	David Parry	Stanford	NT	13	IDL	29
255	Geremy Davis	Connecticut	SE	18	WR	35
256	Cam Thomas	Western Kentucky	OCB	20	CB	30
257	Trenton Brown	Florida	OT	24	OL	47
258	Zach Vigil	Utah State	OFOB	7	OFB	23
259	Deon Long	Maryland	SE	19	WR	36
260	Brandon Bridge	South Alabama	QB	8	QB	8
261	Dominique Brown	Louisville	RBF	20	RB	24
262	Jon Feliciano	Miami (FL)	OG	16	OL	48
263	Steve Nelson	Oregon St	OCB	21	CB	31
264	Cody Fajardo	Nevada	QB	9	QB	9
265	Angelo Blackson	Auburn	NT	14	IDL	30
266	Miles Dieffenbach	Penn St	OG	17	OL	49
267	Bobby Hart	Florida State	OG	18	OL	50
268	Davaris Daniels	Notre Dame	FL	13	WR	37
269	Antoine Everett	McNeese State	OG	19	OL	51
270	Laurence Gibson	Virginia Tech	OT	25	OL	52
271	Ryan Delaire	Towson	EDGE	32	EDGE	32
272	Zach Wagenmann	Montana	EDGE	33	EDGE	33
273	Deshazor Everett	Texas A&M	OCB	22	CB	32
274	Damien Wilson	Minnesota	OFB	1	OFB	24
275	B.J. Dubose	Louisville	3T	10	IDL	31
276	Detrick Bonner	Virginia Tech	FS	11	S	20
277	Terry Williams	East Carolina	NT	15	IDL	32
278	Thomas Rawls	Central Michigan	RBF	21	RB	25
279	Gerald Christian	Louisville	TE	15	TE	15
280	Obum Gwacham	Oregon State	EDGE	34	EDGE	34
281	Malcolm Agnew	Southern Illinois	RBF	22	RB	26
282	Jermaine Whitehead	Auburn	FS	12	S	21
283	Julian Wilson	Oklahoma	OCB	23	CB	33
284	J.R. Tavai	USC	OFIB	17	OFB	25
285	Bryan Bennett	Southeastern Louisiana	QB	10	QB	10
286	Ben Beckwith	Mississippi St	OG	20	OL	53
287	Connor Halliday	Washington State	QB	11	QB	11
288	Cedric Thompson	Minnesota	FS	13	S	22
289	Eric Lefeld	Cincinnati	OT	26	OL	54
290	Erick Dargan	Oregon	SS	10	S	23
291	James Castleman	Oklahoma St	NT	16	IDL	33
292	Taylor Heinicke	Old Dominion	QB	12	QB	12
293	Kyle Loomis	Portland State	P	1	P	1
294	Takoby Cofield	Duke	OG	21	OL	55
295	Michael Dyer	Louisville	RBF	23	RB	27
296	Kasen Williams	Washington	FL	14	WR	38
297	Dean Marlowe	James Madison	FS	14	S	24
298	Edmond Robinson	Newberry	OFOB	8	OFB	26
299	Chris Bonner	Colorado State-Pueblo	QB	13	QB	13
300	Vernon Johnson	Texas A&M-Commerce	FL	15	WR	39

Go to top.
Go to consensus board.
Go to forecaster board.
Go to evaluator board.
Go to alternate boards.

Weighted Evalucastor Board

For the sake of page-load times and ease of navigation, I’m hosting the other boards and board theories on different Google Docs pages that you can click to, but I will highlight some key differences in this approach. In this case, instead of weighting the boards individually, we can weight the two groups equally. You can find the equal-weight board here.

Of note, it only goes to 200 because washing out the individual boards makes it too difficult to really incorporate rankings of the players at the bottom in a meaningful way.

The biggest rank-adjusted differences with this board from the board where we averaged every individual analyst’s rankings are fairly easy to tell—those that appeared on the “biggest disagreements” list without appearing on the “most polarizing” list had the most movement from the consensus board to the weighted board.

Byron Jones had the most movement, ranking 39th on the consensus board but 48th on the forecaster board, while Jake Fisher (34th to 41), Bud Dupree (12th to 15th) and Trae Waynes (14th to 11th) round out the top in terms of differences.

Also experiencing big changes: Zach Hodges (145th to 164th), Andrus Peat (21st to 17th), Amari Cooper (4th to tied for 3rd), David Cobb (87th to 98th), Jordan Phillips (41st to 35th) and Marcus Peters (18th to 21st).

Other Boards and How They Differ

There are three other approaches I’ll highlight. The first is the averaged rank board, which is what it sounds like: it averages all the ranks (of what are now 30 boards). In this case, a player ranked 1st on one board and 3rd on another board is identical to a player ranked 2nd on both boards. A player with the ranks 1, 1, 1, 3, 4, and 22 is equal to one ranked 1, 5, 6, 6, 7 and 7—which would then reward good players for consistency and penalize bad players for not flashing. It also either rewards or penalizes players who in the eyes of some evaluators either have killer traits or fatal flaws that overwhelm the rest of their evaluation.

Check out that board here.

The biggest difference on that board belongs to DeAndre Smelter, who ranked 223rd on the averaged ranks board and 192 on the consensus board. Others who moved quickly from the consensus to averaged board are Frank Clark (162nd to 187th), Marcus Mariota (3rd to 4th), Byron Jones (46th to 39th), Amari Cooper (4th to 3rd), Mitch Morse (159th to 178th), Ronald Darby (54th to 62nd) and Arik Armstead (23rd to 26th).

That is particularly sensitive to outliers. Ranked 77th on Ian Wharton’s board and 97th on Nolan Nawrocki’s board pushed him up in big ways, which pushed him up in this version of the board. Same with Byron Jones, ranked 13th by NFL Rough Draft.

Ronald Darby’s drop was driven in part by Optimum Scouting’s 106th overall ranking for him, and Kyle Crabb’s 96th ranking didn’t help him either.

Of note, those that ranked Mitch Morse generally put him in the top 150, but he went unranked enough on a lot of boards (some with over 400 players) that he dropped significantly in this version of the board. He may be worth watching.

That could be too sensitive to outliers, but if we still want to follow the same model of treating ordinal rankings arithmetically instead of geometrically (i.e. if we want a player ranked 1 and 3 to tie a player ranked 2 and 2) we could use the median instead. That way a player ranked 1, 1, 1, 3, 4 and 22 would outrank a player ranked 1, 5, 6, 6, 7 and 7, but a player ranked 1, 33, 34, 35, 36 and 109 would tie a player ranked 34, 34, 34, 35, 35 and 35.

Check out that board here.

In that board, the biggest change goes to Corey Crawford, who jumps from 197th to 127th. After that, it’s a bunch of the same thing: Karlos Williams jumps from 176th to 127th. So do Cedric Reed (175th to 127th), Lynden Trail (174th to 127th), Clayton Geathers (173rd), Geneo Grissom (172nd), Mike Hill (171st), Sean Hickey (170th) and Sean Mannion (169th).

The reason for that is because the 127th ranking is the automatic ranking for a player not ranked on any of the top 100 boards, but do appear on boards that go beyond 100. So, that’s not useful. What about a combination?

We’ll look at the interquartile values. That is to say, we’ll dispense of the highest and lowest 25 percent of rankings and average only those in between.

Here is that board.

The biggest difference there is once again Marcus Mariota, but this time positive outliers are eliminated, so he drops from third to 5th. After him is Andy Gallik, who drops from 137th to 157th. The 17th overall ranking that Crabbs gave Gallik has been eliminated, as has been the 69th overall ranking Steve Shoup at Fanspeak gave him. Bobby McCain moves from 183rd to 213, while DeAndre Smelter moves to 221 from 192.

Mitch Morse makes another appearance, going from 159 to 137, while Eric Rowe drops to 73rd from 63rd. Zach Hodges goes from 145 to 164 and Durell Eskridge goes from 165 to 144, virtually swapping with Hodges.

We’ll use the logarithmic math board during the draft with our live coverage here at Vikings Territory, including position and role-specific boards, updating as the draft roles on. Then we’ll grade the draft using these tools in order to keep the best coverage you can find on the draft.

If you know of a big board I should include that I may not have, please email me at [email protected].