PFF Introduces Stud Defender in Vikings Mock Draft

Caleb Downs in 2025
Ohio State Buckeyes defensive back Caleb Downs (2) stands at the edge of the field after arriving prior to the Big Ten Conference championship game against the Indiana Hoosiers at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis on Dec. 6, 2025. © Adam Cairns/Columbus Dispatch / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

The Minnesota Vikings kept their life-support playoff hopes alive on Sunday by toppling the Washington Commanders 31-0. Meanwhile, many fans have already turned their attention to the 2026 NFL Draft, where the purple team could have a Top 12 draft pick. And according to Pro Football Focus, Ohio State safety Caleb Downs could be on his way to the Twin Cities.

PFF revealed a stud Big Ten safety to the Minnesota Vikings in a new mock draft, sparking interest as a potential difference-maker for the defense.

The draft is still four and a half months away, but expect Downs to be a major draft darling for Minnesota.

Caleb Downs to Vikings in Latest PFF Mock

Fans would consider it a slam dunk selection.

Caleb Downs reads the formation against Minnesota at Ohio Stadium. Expect Downs to a draft darling for Vikings fans
Ohio State defensive back C. Downs studies the offensive alignment during the second half on Oct 4, 2025, at Ohio Stadium in Columbus against Minnesota. Downs assessed shifts and coverage responsibilities while anchoring the Buckeyes’ defense through late-game situations. His awareness and positioning showcased the steady presence he brings to the secondary. Mandatory Credit: Joseph Maiorana-Imagn Images.

PFF Says Caleb Downs for Vikings

Trevor Sikkema at PFF published a December mock draft this week, using the current applicable order, which situates Minnesota at No. 11.

For Minnesota, he tabbed Downs for duty and wrote, “Downs is one of the best players in this draft class and will likely be a consensus top-five prospect on big boards. But how high do you draft a safety?”

“Kyle Hamilton went No. 14 overall, and Antoine Winfield Jr. was a second-round pick — and both are among the best in the league. Minnesota could easily covet a player like Downs, especially given how versatile he would be on the back end of a Brian Flores defense.”

Vikings general manager Kwesi Adofo-Mensah infamously passed on Hamilton about four years ago, and in the PFF mock, he’d get a chance to cleanse his sins with the Downs selection.

The Skinny on Downs

Downs has already drawn comparisons to Troy Polamalu and Ed Reed — quite the company. He has all the tools at 6’0″ and 205 pounds: speed, strength, and ball-hawk tendencies. He’s the best safety in the draft and may be the best overall defensive back. Maybe the best overall defender.

NFL Draft Buzz on Downs: “Processes information at elite speed with exceptional football IQ, diagnosing play development before most safeties realize what’s happening – see his near-telepathic break on Texas QB’s pass in Cotton Bowl.”

“Possesses elite zone awareness, manipulating quarterbacks with subtle body position shifts while maintaining perfect spacing between route combinations – routinely baits throws he can contest.”

The 20-year-old also won Big 10 Defensive Player of the Year this season.

Harrison Smith Out, and Downs In?

Why the need for Downs? It’s straightforward. Harrison Smith probably has four games left in his NFL career, and because Minnesota let Camryn Bynum scoot via free agency nine months ago, the safety room needs some pizzazz.

Caleb Downs reacts during second-half play at Michigan Stadium.
Ohio State defensive back C. Downs reacts during the second half at Michigan Stadium on Nov 29, 2025, as the Buckeyes battled Michigan in a physical rivalry matchup. Downs’ energy reflected the intensity of a game defined by tight margins and defensive execution. The sequence offered a look at his maturity in high-stress environments. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-Imagn Images.

Downs is the pizzazz.

Brian Flores’ defense also has Josh Metellus, Theo Jackson, and Jay Ward in the roster orbit, but after Smith retires — that’s effectively guaranteed after 2025 — the unit needs a player of Downs’ caliber.

Expect safety to be a draft or free-agent need, no matter what. Assuming Flores sticks around, safeties are mandatory. Flores loves them.

Other Roster Needs

Minnesota’s draft priorities will spark plenty of debate and may hinge on whether J.J. McCarthy shows real NFL trajectory over the final four games. There’s even the slim possibility that the front office looks different by April, which would scramble the board entirely.

Right now, assuming no seismic changes, the long-term shopping list looks something like this:

  • Cornerback
  • Safety
  • Running Back
  • Inside Linebacker
  • Tight End

One could also justify a defensive tackle if both Jonathan Allen and Javon Hargrave exit the offseason picture.

In broad strokes, purple fans will likely spend January through late April pounding the table for a defensive back or a legitimate running back who changes games.

More from the PFF Mock

Sikkema notably mock-drafted Notre Dame running back Jeremiyah Love to the Dallas Cowboys at pick No. 15. Love is another mock-draft darling at the moment for Minnesota.

Sikkema wrote, “Love is a total-package, three-down back who brings difference-making ability as both a rusher and receiver. He has earned rushing grades above 85.0 behind both man/gap and zone schemes and has forced an impressive 56 missed tackles this season. His draft range starts in the top 10, but if he makes it to the Cowboys, I can see them sprinting the card in.”

Jeremiyah Love breaks free for a long touchdown against Boston College.
Notre Dame running back Jeremiyah Love races for a 94-yard touchdown in the fourth quarter against Boston College on Nov 1, 2025, at Alumni Stadium in Chestnut Hill. Love’s burst through the second level turned a routine carry into a game-breaking score, highlighting his explosive ability. The play energized the Notre Dame sideline and punctuated a dominant closing stretch. Mandatory Credit: Edward Finan-Imagn Images.

And for the Detroit Lions, Sikkema rolled with Texas Tech EDGE David Bailey: “Bailey might be in the Nik Bonitto mold, but let’s be honest — every team in the NFL would love a Bonitto-type player. Bailey brings that same designated pass-rush ability, posting a 95.0 pass-rush grade on true pass sets with a 21.6% pass-rush win rate this season.”

Downs will turn 21 on Wednesday.


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Dustin Baker is a novelist and political scientist. His debut thriller, The Motor Route , is out now. He ... More about Dustin Baker