Here’s Our Prediction for Falcons at Vikings

Bijan Robinson and Justin Jefferson greet each other after the Falcons–Vikings game at U.S. Bank Stadium.
Atlanta Falcons running back Bijan Robinson (7) and Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson (18) exchange respect after the final whistle on Dec 8, 2024, at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. Following the NFC matchup, two of the league’s brightest young stars shared a moment at midfield. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-Imagn Images.

With Michael Penix Jr. at quarterback this time — not Kirk Cousins, now the backup passer for Atlanta — the Minnesota Vikings will host the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday Night Football.

This is our prediction for Falcons at Vikings in Week 2. A closer look at how the matchup could unfold — with scores and winners.

Last week, nearly every VikingsTerritory writer predicted a Vikings dub, sans one man, who has longstanding scars from Minnesota’s poor showings at Soldier Field in the last 30 years.

And per our weekly regular season tradition, we asked our staff for Vikings-Falcons predictions, complete with scores. Here’s the verdict.

VT Writers Predict Vikings vs. Falcons on SNF

The group believes the Vikings will move to 2-0.

T.J. Hockenson walks off the field after facing the Falcons at U.S. Bank Stadium.
Minnesota Vikings tight end T.J. Hockenson (87) heads toward the tunnel following the matchup with the Atlanta Falcons on Dec 8, 2024, at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. After a hard-fought contest, the Pro Bowl tight end walked off the field as teammates and fans reflected on the NFC showdown. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-Imagn Images.

Individual Score Picks from Our Writers

No contrarian in this group — the whole damn gang rolled with the purple team. These are the individual score predictions.

Dustin Baker: MIN Wins, 27-20
Sean Borman: MIN Wins, 31-27
Janik Eckardt: MIN Wins, 24-20
Josh Frey: MIN Wins, 30-27
Henrique Gucciardi: MIN Wins, 28-13
Wesley Johnson: MIN Wins, 31-20
Kyle Joudry: MIN Wins, 31-20
Adam New: MIN Wins, 24-13
Tony Schultz: MIN Wins, 30-15
Ted Schwerzler: MIN Wins, 24-18
Ali Siddiqui: MIN Wins, 30-17
Cole Smith: MIN Wins, 28-13

Last week, Johnson most accurately predicted the outcome of the Vikings’ Monday Night Football win. He chose Kevin O’Connell’s squad by three, and that was 100% accurate.

Our Cole Smith also predicted the Vikings to notch at least three turnovers this weekend: “The Vikings, who were tied for the league-lead with 33 takeaways in 2024, only forced one turnover against the Bears. Even that barely counts, as it came on the game’s final play when the Bears attempted a last-gasp series of laterals.”

Brian Flores is going to get creative when it comes to pressuring Penix. The second-year quarterback is cerebral, but he hasn’t seen many defenses that look like this yet. It could be interceptions, or it could come from forced fumbles. But one way or another, the Vikings are going to force the Falcons to turn the ball over often on Sunday.”

Current Standings with the Season Underway

A running tabulation, have a look at almost blemish-free standings:

Henrique Gucciardi: 1-0
Wes Johnson: 1-0
Ted Schwerzler: 1-0
Cole Smith: 1-0
Janik Eckardt: 1-0
Kyle Joudry: 1-0
Adam New: 1-0
Ali Siddiqui: 1-0
Josh Frey: 1-0
Sean Borman: 1-0
Dustin Baker: 0-1

Michael Penix Jr. lines up under center against the Broncos at Mile High.
Atlanta Falcons quarterback Michael Penix Jr. (9) sets up at the line of scrimmage in the fourth quarter on Nov 17, 2024, at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver. Facing the Broncos, Penix directed Atlanta’s offense under pressure at high altitude during a late-game drive. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images.

Baker’s failed prognostication, indeed, sticks out like a sore thumb — a total L.

MIN-ATL Consensus Score and Winner

In Week 1, the group rolled with Minnesota by a group score of 24-18, and the Vikings won 27-24. All things considered, not bad.

Jonathan Greenard and Harrison Phillips sack C.J. Stroud as Harrison Smith looks on.
Minnesota Vikings linebacker Jonathan Greenard (58) and defensive tackle Harrison Phillips (97) celebrate after bringing down Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud (7) during the fourth quarter on Sep 22, 2024, at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. Harrison Smith (22) and Kenyon Green (76) look on as the defense delivered a crucial stop. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-Imagn Images.

This go-round, VikingsTerritory writers believe Minnesota will down Atlanta by a score of 28-19.

What NFL Media Says

NFL.com‘s Dan Parr picked Minnesota to prevail and noted, “Michael Penix Jr. has had some tough luck in the early going of his NFL career, losing his last three starts — two in overtime — despite leading drives to put the Falcons in position to tie the game in the last two minutes of regulation in all three contests.

“I’m just not sure his luck will change against Brian Flores’ defense in Minnesota. If J.J. McCarthy has indeed put his shaky start to Week 1 completely behind him, the game could boil down to how Penix handles the blitz. No team brings extra rushers at a higher rate than the Vikings since Flores was hired before the start of the 2023 season (45.7%).”

It’s worth noting that second-year outside linebacker Dallas Turner will start in place of the injured Andrew Van Ginkel, who is in the league’s concussion protocol.

Dallas Turner warms up before the Vikings’ divisional game against the Lions.
Minnesota Vikings linebacker Dallas Turner (15) stretches on the field before kickoff on Oct 20, 2024, at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. Warming up ahead of a divisional clash with the Detroit Lions, Turner loosened up under the stadium lights as the rookie continued adjusting to the NFL stage. Mandatory Credit: Matt Krohn-Imagn Images.

“Penix fared well against the Buccaneers’ blitz in last week’s loss, but his performance in those situations since entering the league (yes, it’s a small sample size) has left something to be desired (1:1 TD-INT ratio, 58.3% completions, 79.8 rating on 48 dropbacks),” Barr added.

“Now, if big-time disruptor Andrew Van Ginkel (concussion protocol) doesn’t play, that would be a help to Atlanta’s cause. Flores is about as good as it gets when it comes to scheming up pressure, though.”

The Vikings and Falcons will play primetime in the night window against each other for the first time since 1981. Contrary to popular belief, the 1998 NFC Championship kicked off at 11:30 AM CST on that godforesaken day.


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Dustin Baker is a novelist and political scientist. His debut thriller, The Motor Route , is out now. He ... More about Dustin Baker