Dustin Baker’s NFL Wildcard Playoff Predictions | 2024

Nov 17, 2024; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Russell Wilson (3) carries the ball against Baltimore Ravens defensive tackle Nnamdi Madubuike (92) during the second quarter at Acrisure Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-Imagn Images.

Wildcard Weekend and next week’s Divisional Round card are among the best Saturday-Sunday-Monday combos on the calendar — in sports and life. It’s just wall-to-wall high-stakes football.

Dustin Baker’s NFL Wildcard Playoff Predictions | 2024

So, let’s predict this weekend’s winners.

(5) Los Angeles Chargers at (4) Houston Texans

Dec 23, 2023; Inglewood, California, USA; Los Angeles Chargers linebacker Khalil Mack (52) rushes against the Buffalo Bills in the second half at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports.

Saturday, 1/11, 3:30 pm CST

The Texans just have too many injuries to playmakers like Stefon Diggs and Tank Dell. They’ve also sputtered in the last few weeks — at the worst possible time.

Los Angeles may not have a Super Bowl-caliber roster in Year No. 1 of Jim Harbaugh’s reign, but it will defeat Houston on the road and head to Kansas City or Buffalo next weekend.

Prediction: Chargers over Texans, 24-20

(6) Pittsburgh Steelers at (3) Baltimore Ravens

Oct 29, 2023; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Pittsburgh head coach Mike Tomlin looks up at the video replay in a game against the Jacksonville Jaguars at Acrisure Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Philip G. Pavely-USA TODAY Sports.

Saturday, 1/11, 7:00 pm CST

The upset special, Pittsburgh daggers Baltimore on the road, solely because this is a rivalry game.

The Steelers have performed terribly since the AFC North show premiered on HBO, but because the Ravens are their most bitter rival, Pittsburgh shocks Jon Harbaugh and Co.

Prediction: Steelers over Ravens, 20-17

(7) Denver Broncos at (2) Buffalo Bills

Aug 20, 2022; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Buffalo Bills cornerback Kaiir Elam (24) signs autographs for fans after a pre-season game against the Denver Broncos at Highmark Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports.

Sunday, 1/12, 12:00 pm CST

Denver possesses one of the sports’ top defenses, meaning this won’t be a total rout.

Yet, the Bills will win somewhat handily, mainly because Bo Nix won’t play at an elite level in his first-ever postseason game. Bills fans will start to daydream about the Super Bowl even more intensely.

Prediction: Bills over Broncos, 30-20

(7) Green Bay Packers at (2) Philadelphia Eagles

Wildcard Playoff Predictions
Dec 29, 2024; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Eagles running back Saquon Barkley (26) runs with the ball past Dallas Cowboys safety Juanyeh Thomas (30) at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-Imagn Images.

Sunday, 1/12, 3:30 pm CST

Some will pick Green Bay here because it spanked Dallas in the same situation last year. But the Eagles’ offensive and defensive trenches are too much to handle.

The Eagles will roll over the Packers, winning by two scores.

Prediction: Eagles over Packers, 27-17

(6) Washington Commanders at (3) Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sunday, 1/15, 7:00 pm CST

Vikings Offseason
Dec 24, 2023; Tampa, Florida, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers safety Antoine Winfield Jr. (31) reacts after recovering a fumble against the Jacksonville Jaguars in the fourth quarter at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports.

Sunday, 1/12, 7:00 pm CST

This might be the most entertaining game of the weekend.

The Buccaneers are one of the few teams in the NFL that can beat anyone on a Sunday — and damn near lose to anyone. The Seattle Seahawks also fit this criteria.

This go-round, Tampa Bay will be hot against Washington’s somewhat suspect offense and prevail by a touchdown.

Prediction: Buccaneers over Commanders, 31-24

(5) Minnesota Vikings at (4) Los Angeles Rams

Oct 24, 2024; Inglewood, California, USA; Minnesota Vikings safety Josh Metellus (44), cornerback Shaquill Griffin (1), linebacker Ivan Pace Jr. (0), safety Camryn Bynum (24), and cornerback Byron Murphy Jr. (7) celebrate against the Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images

Monday, 1/13, 7:00 pm CST

Perhaps the reason you’re here reading the article, the Vikings take on the Rams in Arizona on Monday Night Football.

The Rams’ defense isn’t deadly, their offensive line is penetrable, and the Vikings are the more complete team. Minnesota will also have some semblance of homefield advantage.

Minnesota gets a little bit of vengeance for a Week 8 loss to the same team and will head to Detroit for a Divisional Round showdown next weekend.

Prediction: Vikings over Rams, 27-21


Dustin Baker is a political scientist who graduated from the University of Minnesota in 2007. Subscribe to his daily YouTube Channel, VikesNow. The show features guests, analysis, and opinion on all things related to the purple team, with 4-7 episodes per week. His Vikings obsession dates back to 1996. Listed guilty pleasures: Peanut Butter Ice Cream, ‘The Sopranos,’ Basset Hounds, and The Doors (the band). He follows the NBA as closely as the NFL. 

All statistics provided by Pro Football Reference / Stathead; all contractual information provided by OverTheCap.com.