Vikings Have Wimpy 2023 Super Bowl Odds

A New Era Dawns in Minnesota 
Jun 8, 2022; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Vikings head coach Kevin O'Connell. © Matt Krohn-USA TODAY Sports.

If the Minnesota Vikings plan to win a Super Bowl for the first time in franchise history around this time next year, they will defy the odds in the process.

The Kansas City Chiefs knocked off the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl LVII, so Vegas got right to it prognosticating next year’s combatants.

Vikings Have Wimpy 2023 Super Bowl Odds

And Minnesota is painted in an unflattering light — just like last year — possessing +5000 odds to win the elusive chip.

Vikings Have Wimpy
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The Lines described the Vikings odds just hours after the Super Bowl, “After amazingly winning 11 one-score games, the Vikings fizzled out in the Wild Card round against a mediocre Giants team. They opened with +5000 odds to win it all, and that number didn’t budge after Brian Flores was hired as defensive coordinator.”

The Vikings finished the 2022 season with a 13-4 record, an NFC North crown, and the best season in franchise history by a first-year head coach. And as mentioned above, Minnesota hired a blue-chip defensive coordinator to “fix the defense,” and even that didn’t move the needle, evidently.

Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports.

When the 2022 season began five months ago, the Vikings held +3600 odds to hoist a Lombardi. So, for now, the 2023 team will be more of a longshot to succeed. The team hasn’t signaled any type of rebuild on the way, appearing hellbent on renewing all-in Super Bowl stakes for about the eighth year in a row.

Moreover, when the 2023 regular season kicks off, Minnesota will play a first-place schedule, coupled with eight home games and nine away games. One of the team’s claims to fame last year was a relatively easy schedule with an extra home game due to the NFL’s new 17-game rotation. But those items are off the table in 2023.

No Love for Kevin
Matt Krohn-USA TODAY Sports.

One reason sportsbooks aren’t high on the Vikings? Well, much of the country believed Minnesota was “fraudulent” during the 2022 season, chiefly because of a -3 season-long point differential. That’s right — the Vikings opponents outscored the purple team despite Minnesota showcasing a fancy 13-4 record when the season ended. Then, the fraudulent narrative was confirmed when the New York Giants disposed of the Vikings at home in the NFL’s Wildcard playoff round.

It Was a Crazy Night
Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports.

Teams considered Super Bowl bedfellows with Kevin O’Connell’s team at the moment include the New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, Pittsburgh Steelers, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers. All have the underwhelming +5000 Super Bowl moneyline as of February 13th.

Football Outsiders classified the Vikings as the league’s sixth-worst team per its DVOA metric in 2022.

The 2023 regular season kicks off in 206 days.


Dustin Baker is a political scientist who graduated from the University of Minnesota in 2007. Subscribe to his daily YouTube Channel, VikesNow. He hosts a podcast with Bryant McKinnie, which airs every Wednesday with Raun Sawh and Sal Spice. His Vikings obsession dates back to 1996. Listed guilty pleasures: Peanut Butter Ice Cream, ‘The Sopranos,’ and The Doors (the band).

All statistics provided by Pro Football Reference / Stathead; all contractual information provided by OverTheCap.com.

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