4 Teams Similar to the 2023 Vikings — According to Vegas

Nov 27, 2022; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love (10) walks out of the locker room before action against the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports.

The Minnesota Vikings have a second-place forecast in the NFC North, staring up at the entrancing Detroit Lions, a team everyone, including oddsmakers, has fallen in love with since Week 18 of the 2022 regular season.

For now, Minnesota is slated for 8.5 wins, per sportsbooks, in 2022 — the same number attached to the club last year at this time. The Vikings later won 13 games.

4 Teams Similar to the 2023 Vikings — According to Vegas

Moreover, head coach Kevin O’connell’s team has +4000 odds to win Super Bowl LVIII in Las Vegas. And so you can understand what ‘tier’ the Vikings inhabit, these are four teams with similar Super Bowl odds.

1. Denver Broncos (+4000)

Similar to the 2023
Feb 6, 2023; Englewood, CO, USA; Denver Broncos head coach Sean Payton speaks at the UCHealth Training Center. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports.

Denver hopes to squash the sequel of its rotten 2022 horror film. That’s why it hired a ‘sure thing’ head coach in Vikings rival Sean Payton. If anyone can return Russell Wilson to normalcy, it’s Payton — is the rationale from the Broncos Walmart brass and fans.

And somehow, that little theory makes their Super Bowl odds a mirror image of the Vikings.

2. Green Bay Packers (+4000)

Dec 25, 2022; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Miami Dolphins safety Jevon Holland (8) attempts to tackle Green Bay Packers wide receiver Christian Watson (9) during the first half at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports.

When was the last time this happened? The Vikings + Packers sharing preseason Super Bowl odds.

Probably 1992, right before Brett Favre rose to power — yes, 31 years ago. Alas, the Packers are not guaranteed to employ Hall of Fame-bound QB play for the first time in three decades. What does that prognosis get them, handing the baton to Jordan Love? A probability share with the Vikings for Super Bowl outlook.

3. New Orleans Saints (+4000)

Mar 11, 2023; Metairie, LA, USA; New Orleans Saints chief executive officer Gayle Benson poses with New Orleans Saints quarterback Derek Carr (4) at Ochsner Sports Performance Center. Mandatory Credit: Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports

The Saints assessed the state of the NFC South, quickly realizing the foursome was winnable. The Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers appear to be in quarterback limbo, and it will likely take a year or two for Bryce Young to prowl as a Panther.

That leaves the old warhorse, Derek Carr, in the saddle for the Saints. Accordingly, their Super Bowl odds resemble Minnesota’s. New Orleans has a clear path to win its division — perhaps the most leisurely trek in the NFL — and that’s evidently good enough for similar Super Bowl odds as the Vikings.

4. Seattle Seahawks (+4000)

Jan 9, 2022; Glendale, Arizona, USA; Seattle Seahawks head coach Pete Carroll against the Arizona Cardinals at State Farm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Oddsmakers are skittish about awarding Geno Smith’s team fancy Super Bowl odds, and wouldn’t you know it? That sounds a lot like their mentality regarding the Vikings and Kirk Cousins. Smith produced exactly (4,282 passing yards, 31 TDs) like his predecessor Russell Wilson in 2022 — the good version of Wilson — and Vegas probably wants to see it in back-to-back seasons before nudging odds above +4000.

Seattle also executed a magnificent draft, onboarding WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba and CB Devon Witherspoon, partly thanks to the Wilson trade with the aforementioned Broncos.

Dustin Baker is a political scientist who graduated from the University of Minnesota in 2007. Subscribe to his daily YouTube Channel, VikesNow. He hosts a podcast with Bryant McKinnie, which airs every Wednesday with Raun Sawh and Sal Spice. His Vikings obsession dates back to 1996. Listed guilty pleasures: Peanut Butter Ice Cream, ‘The Sopranos,’ Basset Hounds, and The Doors (the band).

All statistics provided by Pro Football Reference / Stathead; all contractual information provided by OverTheCap.com.