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Justin Jefferson Was Robbed for OROY. Here’s Why.

By Dustin Baker

Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson won the Sporting News Rookie of the Year award for the 2020 season. That honor was the first of “ROY Award Season” as there are four separate prizes to commemorate rookie performance – and six if you break them out by offensive and defensive positioning.

For starters, that is too many awards. The NFL should probably nominate one as the gold standard (likely Associated Press) and leave the other three for crackerjack-box trivia stuff. Can you imagine the NBA handing out four MVP trophies? No, it would muddle the legitimacy of the award.

Justin Herbert won the bulk of the rookie awards and took home the Associated Press Offensive Rookie of the Year edition on Saturday. The Los Angeles Chargers quarterback had a magnificent rookie campaign after would-be starter Tyrod Taylor suffered a punctured lung accidentally perpetrated out by his trainer. Herbert tabulated the most passing touchdowns ever by a rookie, most completions, and the sixth-best rookie passer rating of all-time.

Jefferson notched 1,400 receiving yards – the most by a rookie in NFL history.

But voters were enamored with quarterback lust as Jefferson garnished a meager nine votes for OROY to Herbert’s 41. This wasn’t even close. And that is a travesty.

Until we reduce this “quarterback wins” culture that has stormed professional football, the game will continue to stuff individual awards onto quarterbacks’ resumes.

A Better WR in 2020 than Herbert was QB

This is extremely straightforward – Justin Jefferson was a better, more productive wide receiver in 2020 than Justin Herbert was a quarterback.

Per Pro Football Focus, Herbert’s 2020 grade was 80.1, and that ranked as 15th-best among all quarterbacks in the NFL. He was four spots below Vikings signal-caller, Kirk Cousins (83.5). In terms of company, PFF places Herbert in a grade category among Philip Rivers and Matthew Stafford. Those men are astute quarterbacks, but few assert that they were upper-echelon in 2020.

Justin Jefferson was the NFL’s No. 2-ranked wide receiver via PFF (90.4) behind Green Bay Packers wideout Davante Adams. With 1,400 receiving yards, he was the league’s third-most prolific wideout. Herbert tossed his way to the sixth-most passing yards.

Again, both men played tremendously. But Jefferson joined a tier of wide receivers that Herbert failed to reach at quarterback as a rookie. Had Hebert rivaled Patrick Mahomes and Aaron Rodgers’ numbers during 2020, then this award should sit on his fireplace mantel. He did not do that.

As a wide receiver, Jefferson did precisely that.

Rookie Receiving Yards Record Stood for 17 Years

Much of the fawning over Herbert was derived from his toppling of the two-season-old passing touchdowns record. Baker Mayfield previously held the record from his 2018 rookie campaign. The record, although impressive, is made to be broken on a significantly more-routine basis as the NFL has tightened rules around quarterbacks. They cannot be aggressively touched. If a movement near a quarterback’s body looks violent or suspect, penalty flags litter the turf. The league has gone pass-happy – irrefutably. Of course, passing records will fall with prevalence as a result.

When Jefferson set his rookie record, it was a mark formerly set back in 2003. The Iraq War was just beginning. That’s how old that one was. Mayfield last set the passing touchdown record in the same timeframe that Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh was being confirmed to the bench. Does that feel like long ago? No, it doesn’t.

If the OROY selection was about “who’s better at his position,” Jefferson was the winner as determined by 2020 performance. Had the award evaluated “which record is more difficult to break,” the answer is the receiving yards record. Perhaps the voters care about Pro Football Focus grading? It’s Jefferson with that metric, too. Who did the Associated Press select as All-Pro? Jefferson, not Hebert.

The Quarterback-ization of Awards

The recent history of the OROY was actually friendly to non-QBs. Saquon Barkley, Alvin Kamara, Todd Gurley, Odell Beckham, and Eddie Lacy all won the Associated Press version since 2013.

This season, though, the narrative shifted to embody the quarterback fetish. In this regard, the voting is undergoing MVP-like tendencies. No non-quarterback player since Adrian Peterson – eight years ago – has won the NFL MVP award. MVP conversation season jumps off the calendar and the who’s-who of football crank his/her neck to begin looking for the best quarterback. Little attention, if any, is ever paid to the defensive side of the football. You know those guys – the ones that comprise half of the football team. Defensive players be damned – the NFL does not acknowledge non-quarterbacks for the MVP award either.

The ROY prize really felt like one that was objective and still adjudicated all positions on the field. Now, however, it is following the “QB Wins” pipeline of analysis – one that affords way too much credit to one man in a sport of 53 men per team.

Dustin Baker

Dustin Baker is a political scientist who graduated from the University of Minnesota in 2007. Subscribe to his daily YouTube Channel, VikesNow. He hosts a podcast with Bryant McKinnie, which airs every Wednesday with Raun Sawh and Sal Spice. His Vikings obsession dates back to 1996. Listed guilty pleasures: Peanut Butter Ice Cream, ‘The Sopranos,’ Basset Hounds, and The Doors (the band).

Tags: justin herbert Justin Jefferson minnesota vikings MN Vikings news NFL offense OROY rookie of the year Vikings

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  • Pro Football Focus is a joke. There were not 14 quarterbacks better than Justin Herbert this season, and Justin Jefferson wasn't the second-best wide receiver. Herbert played 15 games; Jefferson played 16. You nitpick Herbert for having the sixth-most passing yards, which was more than Aaron Rodgers had, but you don't do the same with Jefferson, who had fewer touchdown receptions than fellow rookie Chase Claypool. In fact, 14 players had more touchdown receptions than Jefferson. Fourteen players also had more receptions than Jefferson, and a few right behind him sat out at least one game (Tyreek Hill and Cole Beasley were two of them). Also, saying Herbert won it simply because he plays quarterback is a reach. Saquon Barkley got the award when Baker Mayfield broke the rookie record for touchdown passes in 2018. Baker also led the Browns to a 7-9 record after they went 0-16 and 1-15 the previous two seasons. You're way off with this one.

    • Actually I was wrong. TWENTY-ONE players had more touchdown receptions than Jefferson this season.

    • Justin Jefferson broke multiple records just as Herbert did. Just because he didn’t have the most receiving touchdowns does not mean anything. For example, Calvin Johnson had damn near 2000 receiving yards in a season but only had 5 touchdowns. Does that mean he wasn’t the best receiver in the nfl that year or the other years he didn’t have the most touchdowns? Thielen had the 3rd most this year and it was definitely because of Jefferson attracting a lot of attention. Not to mention that Jefferson didn’t even start the first two games and still broke receiving records. And what does it matter if the players with more receptions had less yards than him? Doesn’t that mean Jefferson did more with less? And btw, saquon had 2000 plus total yards in his rookie season which is why he won the award.

    • A. Jefferson basically played in 12 games this season. He didn't really play the first 2 weeks because the Vikes were oblivious that they had a monster on their hands and weeks 8 and 9 when the Vikes were running all over the Packers and Lions.
      B. If Sam Darnold threw the ball 595 times in his rookie year like Herbert did he would only have 218 less yards. Any rookie qb can get a lot of yards and completions and other record breaking stats as long as the coach is OK with losing lots of games and throwing the ball 1000 times. Also screwing over the RBs.
      C. Like the other guy said TDs aren't really the best thing to judge a WR for at times. The Vikes any time the ball was inside the 10 would run the ball because they have arguably the best RB in the league. Everyone else in the league throws the ball inside the 10 but the Vikes. Also you have Adam Thielen stealing 14 TDs.
      D. OROY starts with an edge to Qbs. As long as a rookie QB plays above average, they will win the award no matter what. Baker was average his rookie year, so an Elite Saquan won the award. Herbert played above average so the Elite Jefferson couldn't win the award. Scale goes poor, below average, average, above average, and elite btw.
      E. Also fyi if the Vikes threw the ball as much as the Bills then Jefferson would have more yards than Diggs.

  • Let me get you a glass of milk for the one you just spilled. Bro, this wasn't even close. Both Justin's are great - one was greater. Your ability to make an argument selecting only the facts that tell your side of the story is what a high-school kid would do when busted by his parents for missing curfew. If you want to be a respected Journalist be Honest with the Facts, and let your readers decide - You think we are dumb? the only people that read your column are rabid NFL Fans - don't treat us like chumps and feed us BS - were not buying it. Herbert > Jefferson