Just one more game separate four teams from Super Bowl LV. MyBookie Head Oddsmaker David Strauss expert insights for how to wager this weekend.
NFL Conference Championship
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5
Green Bay Packers -3.5
Over/Under: 52 (-115)
Packers Betting Insights
• Green Bay’s games have hit the over in nine out of 16 outings this season (56.2%).
• Green Bay has put together a 10-6 record against the spread this season.
• The Packers have an ATS record of 6-4 when playing as at least 4.0-point favorites.
• The Packers have put an average of 31.8 points per game on the scoreboard this season, 9.6 more than the 22.2 the Buccaneers have surrendered in each contest.
• In games where Green Bay score at least 31.8 points this season, they are 8-0 overall and 8-0 against the spread.
• When the Tampa Bay defense allows 22.2 points or fewer this year, the Buccaneers have put together a 6-1 overall record and a 6-1 record against the spread.
Buccaneers Betting Insights
• 9 of Tampa Bay’s 16 games this year have gone over the point total (56.2% of its opportunities).
• Tampa Bay has a 9-7 record against the spread.
• The Buccaneers are 7-4 ATS when playing as at least 4.0-point underdogs.
• The Buccaneers, on average, score 7.7 more points per game this season (30.8) than the Packers allow (23.1).
• Tampa Bay is 8-0 overall and 6-2 against the spread when they score at least 30.8 points this season.
• When Green Bay allows opposing offenses to put 23.1 points or fewer on the scoreboard this year, they are 9-0 overall and 7-2 against the spread.
Total Facts
• The Packers and their opponents have combined to score more than this matchup’s point total (50.5 points) in 62.5% of their games this season (10 of 16 opportunities).
• The Buccaneers and their opponents have combined to score at least 50.5 points in 56.2% of their games this year (nine of 16 chances).
• The two teams average a combined 12.1 more points per game (62.6) than this matchup’s total of 50.5 points.
• The Packers and the Buccaneers have seen their opponents average a combined 5.2 less points per game than the over/under of 50.5 set in this outing.
• The average point total in Packers games this season is 4.4 more points than the total of 50.5 in this matchup.
• The average point total for the Buccaneers this season is 2.4 points higher than this game’s over/under.
Betting Insights: Last Three Games (Both Teams)
• The Packers average total over the last three games is 2.2 points fewer than the 50.5 total listed for this matchup.
• Green Bay has gone 2-1 against the spread and 3-0 overall in their last three contests.
• Green Bay has hit the over two times in their last three games.
• The Buccaneers have averaged a total of 61 combined points over their last three games, 10.5 greater than this game’s over/under of 50.5.
• Tampa Bay has been playing up to expectations, going 2-1 against the spread and 3-0 straight up over the last three contests.
• Tampa Bay has hit the over two times in their last three contests.
Buffalo Bills +3
Kansas City Chiefs -3
Over/Under 53.5 (-110)
Chiefs Betting Insights
• Kansas City has compiled a losing 7-9 record against the spread this season.
• The Chiefs are just 5-8 ATS when playing as at least 3.0-point favorites.
• Kansas City has played in eight games this year that went over the point total (50% of its outings).
• The Chiefs, on average, score 6.2 more points per game this season (29.6) than the Bills allow (23.4).
• In games where Kansas City score at least 29.6 points this season, they are 8-1 overall and 5-4 against the spread.
• When the Buffalo defense allows 23.4 points or fewer this year, the Bills have accumulated an 8-0 overall record and a 6-2 record against the spread.
Bills Betting Insights
• 11 of Buffalo’s 16 games this year have gone over the point total (68.8% of its outings).
• Buffalo has put together an 11-5 record against the spread this season.
• The Bills are 5-4 ATS when playing as at least 3.0-point underdogs.
• The Bills have averaged 8.7 more points this season (31.3) than the Chiefs have allowed (22.6).
• Buffalo is 6-0 overall and 6-0 against the spread when they score at least 31.3 points this season.
• Kansas City is 9-0 overall and 6-3 against the spread this season in games where they allow fewer than 22.6 points.
Total Facts
• The Chiefs’ average point total in outings this season is 52.2, 1.3 points below the total in this game.
• Bills games this year have averaged an over/under of 54.8 points, 1.3 more than the point total in this matchup.
• The Chiefs and their opponents have combined for 53.5 points — this matchup’s over/under — in nine of 16 outings (56.2%) this season.
• The Bills have played in eight games this year (out of 16 total matchups — 50% of opportunities) where they and their opponents combined to score more than 53.5 points.
• The Chiefs and the Bills combine to average 7.4 more points per game than the total of 53.5 set for this game.
• The Chiefs and the Bills have seen their opponents average a combined 7.5 fewer points per game than the over/under of 53.5 set in this outing.
Betting Insights: Last Three Games (Both Teams)
• Kansas City is just 1-2 against the spread and 2-1 straight up over their last three contests.
• The over has been kind to Kansas City. They have gone over the total two times in their last three outcomes.
• The Chiefs have averaged a total of 50.3 combined points over their last three games, 3.2 less than this matchup’s total of 53.5.
• Buffalo has been in top form recently, going 3-0 against the spread and 3-0 straight up over their last three contests.
• Buffalo has gone over the total two times in their last three games.
• The Bills total over the last three games is 11.8 points greater than the 53.5 total given for this matchup.
