Where does Zimmer rank in EdjSports’ NFL Coach of the Year Ranking?
Joe Johnson
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One of the cooler things we get as part of the Minnesota Vikings/NFL media community is random emails from all sorts of industry muckity mucks.
One such email comes from our friends at Edjsports, who buried the lead (as far as we’re concerned) with their announcement that Green Bay Packers head coach Matt LaFleur is their 2020 NFL Coach of the year.
What lead?
Back in Week 11 they had the Vikings’ Mike Zimmer listed as the FOURTH best coach in the league. Now? After a historically bad effort by the Vikings’ defense against the New Orleans Saints?
I’ll just show you:
Yikes.
Anyway, here’s the press release from EdjSports…
LOUISVILLE, KY / NEW YORK, NY (December 30, 2020) –EdjSports, the premier intelligence firm for the sports industry, announced today it has named Packers Head Coach Matt LeFleur as its 2020 EdjSports Coach of the Year.
Chiefs Head Coach Andy Reid, who was No. 1 through Week 16 dropped to No. 2 this week; 2019 EdjSports Coach of the Year John Harbaugh finished at No. 3; Colts Head Coach Frank Reich is at No. 4 and Bills Head Coach Sean McDermottcomprise the Top 5 in the 2020 EdjSports Coach Rankings.
The bottom five this year include Texans Head Coaches Bill O’Brien and Romeo Crennel at No. 28; Giants Head Coach Joe Judge at No. 29; Panthers Head Coach Matt Rhule at No. 30; Jaguars Head Coach Doug Marrone at No. 31; and rounding out the rankings are Lions Head Coaches Matt Patricia and Darrell Bevell at No. 32.
“Matt LaFleur has been a consistent decision maker this season and emerged as our Coach of the Year this week after being in the Top 5 throughout the 2020 rankings,” said Frank Frigo, EdjSports Co-Founder. “It was a very tight race against other head coaches in the league known for their focus on analytics.”
An editorial video taking a deep dive into the final 2020 EdjSports Coach Rankings by Frank Frigo, EdjSports Co-Founder, Aaron Schatz, Football Outsiders Editor-in-Chief, and Ian O’Connor, EdjSports Analyst can be viewed at https://edjsports.com/nflcoachrankings.
EdjSports is widely acclaimed for its in-game risk management analysis and proprietary Game-Winning Chance (GWC) metric used by NFL teams and media. GWC is a team’s win probability at any point in the game and is generated from the proprietary EdjFootball simulation model. EdjSports is creating the industry standard for head coach rankings by allocating its GWC to coaching decisions.
About the EdjFootball model
Built on more than 20 years of historical NFL play-by-play and statistical data, the EdjFootball model is a fully customizable simulation engine. It accounts for each team’s strengths and weaknesses on offense, defense, and special teams. Model inputs include game state (score, timeouts, quarter, clock, down and distance, and field position), venue characteristics (indoor, outdoor, grass, turf, elevation), second half kickoff team, key injuries and Football Outsiders DVOA. Each week the model evaluates team performances and adjusts team strengths and weakness accordingly. As a result of these analyses, over the course of a season the EdjFootball model simulates over 3 billion games to conclusion.
About the EdjSports Coach Rankings
EdjSports analyzes every coaching decision during the course of a season. The EdjFootball model enables an in-depth examination of all critical calls (4th downs, PATs, and kickoffs), in terms of the amount of GWC at stake. The coach’s play-calling choices (run, pass, field goal, punt) are assessed at the point of decision (pre-snap) and rated with respect to their impact on winning the game. As a result of this process all play calling decisions can be objectively classified as either optimal decisions (correct calls) or suboptimal decisions (errors). The EdjSports Coach Rankings are based on this methodology and consist of two main components:
- Edj Power Indexes (EPI) Ranking
- This is a cumulative ranking of the Edj Power Indexes (EPIs) including Offensive Pass, Offensive Rush, Defensive Pass and Defensive Rush. This ranking is a reflection of how teams performed in every situation during the season.
- Offensive Play Calling (CCI) Ranking
- This ranking is based on an analysis of offensive play calling on 4th downs and compares teams in terms of GWC lost or gained, on a normalized basis so that all teams are given the same test. Additionally, the CCI rankings are adjusted to account for the frequency and situational nature of critical calls to allow for fair comparisons of all 32 teams.
About EdjSports
EdjSports \Edge-Sports\ empowers smarter decision-making with proven predictive and prescriptive analytical models and win probability applications in the sports industry for teams, media, fans and bettors. EdjSports helps decision makers enhance their ability to gain the competitive edge that ultimately impacts the bottom line – winning. EdjSports properties include EdjSports.com, Football Outsiders, EdjVarsity and EdjSports has a strategic partnership with Massey Ratings.
Follow EdjSports on Twitter / Facebook / Instagram and at www.edjsports.com.
ABOUT FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS (A DIVISION OF EDJSPORTS): Established in 2013, Football Outsiders has created in-depth NFL and NCAA advanced statistics including their proprietary DVOA and DYAR ratings. Football Outsiders’ editorial staff provides an intelligent viewpoint challenging conventional wisdom about the game and contributes regularly to ESPN+. www.footballoutsiders.com
Follow Football Outsiders on Twitter/ Facebook / Instagramand at www.footballoutsiders.com.
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