2012 Vikings Predictions – Game By Game Record Predictions (Part 1)

We’re about two months away from the official start of the 2012 season. The Vikings will travel all the way to San Francisco to face off with the 49ers to kick-off their preseason schedule. I’m considering preseason the “official start” of football because I’m desperate for things to begin and don’t want to admit that the real start probably isn’t actually until a month later when the regular season commences.

With football right around the corner, I thought it would be fun to start making some predictions about the 2012 season. Who will win key battles, what players will have breakout years, what games we will win and lose, what our record will be, etc… So today, I’m going to kick off this series by looking at the first quarter of the 2012 season and making a win/loss prediction for each game.

Dislaimer: Don’t put too much weight in these predictions. My ‘predictions’ in the past have, let’s just say, not always been spot on. Just ask anyone that was around here for our draft coverage and live draft chat – I was off on just about everything. It’s also still really early. We don’t even have a final roster set in place yet. Nevertheless, making these types of predictions are fun for everyone and typically start good conversation.

Also, on a side note, I want to sincerely apologize for not being around much lately. All I can say is that sometimes the “real world” can just get in the way. More specifically, the wife and I just purchased our first home. Between dealing with the builder, lendor and actually doing the moving, things have been very busy to say the least. We’re settled in to our new place now though and I plan on picking up my contributions around here more again. It should be said that Adam has done an awesome job of keeping fresh new content up during a time where there really isn’t much (Post-draft/Pre-season).

Alright, so back on topic. Join me after the jump to dive right in to the Vikings 2012 season.

No one needs to be reminded that the Vikings had a pretty bad 2011 season. It was one of the worst in Vikings history. With 13 losses and only three wins, the whole thing was just really difficult to watch. If you’re like me, though, you had this feeling the entire time that, “this team is better than this.” Maybe it’s the fact that we’re all just homers and love to believe our favorite team is better than they actually are. The refusal to accept things as they are and admit that we’re simply just not good.

I don’t think that was it, though. (Exactly what a homer would say.) There were times last year where the Vikings looked pretty good. Looked like they could hang with the best of them. Only four games were lost by more than a touchdown – two of which were division games. That’s not bad in our tough division and with a relatively difficult schedule overall. Especially when you consider the team was being lead by a rookie quarterback, who had no offseason to learn, dealing with injuries. On top of that, our star running back was unavailable at times as well.

I guess my point is that, although last season shows up really bad on paper, I don’t think we are in as dismal a position as many think. While this team is young and in “rebuilding” mode, there is still tons of talent. And because of the Vikings horrible record last year, we were able to have an excellent draft and add some great new talent at positions of need.

In my opinion, one of the biggest things in our favor for the 2012 season is our very favorable schedule. I saw a stat from a similar article to this one on Bleacher Report that states the Vikings have the eighth hardest schedule in the league this year. “Their opponents have a combined 131-125 record from last season…”

Once you remove our division opponents though, which I believe can always go either way, you’re left with some match-ups that could easily go in our favor. Yes we are in a tough division, but I refuse to believe that we will not win one of those six games. Division match-ups are almost always close. Of the six division games last year, only two were decided by more than six points. (Of course, it should be noted that if we end up having a fantastic season this year, I will declare it was on top of the fact that we had the eighth hardest schedule in the NFL!)

So, with all that being said, let’s look at the games in the first quarter of the Vikings season and predict where we’ll be come week 5.

Week 1 – Jacksonville at Minnesota

We cannot lose this game. Period. End of story.

Losing this game, at home, against a struggling Jacksonville team could really set the tone for another bad season.

The Jaguars finished the 2011 season with a record of 5-11. Their offense struggled to produce and Blaine Gabbert made Christian Ponder look like he was an NFL veteran.

As it is the first game of the season, I expect both teams will be raw and make a few mistakes, but I still see the Vikings walking away from this one with the first win of the year.

And, mind you, this is without Adrian Peterson. For the purpose of these predictions, I am going to assume he’ll be back after the first quarter of the season. I believe he could probably play by game 1 because Peterson is an alien, but the Vikings will give Toby Gerhart the nod for a few games just to play it safe.

1-0 (Undefeated!)

Week 2 – Minnesota at Indianapolis

The Vikings and the Colts have only faced five times since the Colts relocated to Indianapolis and have won the latest three of those meetings.

In only the second week of the season, one of the major story lines will undoubtedly be how Andrew Luck is fairing at the helm of the Colts offense. I think it’s fortunate that the Vikings match against the rookie QB is very early in the season before he’s found his bearings.

The Colts were horrendous last year. And it is highly unlikely that the addition of a rookie quarterback is going to change that right away, especially early in the season, regardless of how good Luck is believed to be.

Our defensive line will cause nightmares for the young quarterback and I see the Vikings walking away with another win here.

2-0 (Still undefeated!)

Week 3 – San Francisco at Minnesota

I think everyone remembers the last time the Vikings and 49ers played each other. It was a magical game with a phenomenal ending.

I wouldn’t expect it to be so magical this time.

The Niners are the team we aspire to be this year. In 2010, they had a losing record of 6-10 and fired head coach Mike Singletary. The next year they managed to go 13-3 and are expected by most to be major contenders for the Lombardi Trophy in 2012. If the Vikings can even come close to resembling that type of rebound, the season should be considered a success.

While I don’t think the Vikings will be blown out here because I think they match-up well against the Niners, I highly doubt we walk away from this one with a “W”. In the end, I think the 49ers relentless defense and new, dangerous receiving core (now touting every Vikings fans favorite receiver – Randy Moss) will be too much for the Vikes to handle.

First loss of the season.


Week 4 – Minnesota at Detroit

I may be alone in this, but the Lions still don’t really scare me. I don’t know what it is. I guess after years and years of looking past them, they still haven’t managed to stand out to me as a team the Vikings should be intimidated by.

With that being said, I think this game, although very close will be the Vikings second straight loss of the season.

If the game is in Minnesota, I think we have a good chance of walking away with a win. But, in Detroit, I think the Lions high-powered offense will be too much for the Vikings new, young secondary to handle.

It’s okay, we’ll see them again in a month or two – and I expect the outcome to be different the second time around once Adrian Peterson is healthy and ready to go.


Check back!

Make sure to check back soon for predictions on the next four games. The second quarter of the season has some very favorable games for the Vikings and I predict by the halfway mark we’ll be above .500 (gasp!).

For the time being, share your opinion on the above predictions and make predictions of your own in the comments.

Show More

Brett Anderson

Brett Anderson (Founder) is a passionate Viking fan hailing from Sin City, Las Vegas. He can remember, as a child, scraping his knee on the playground and his friends being completely shocked by the purple blood trickling from the wound. When Brett isn't scouring the Internet for some semblance of Vikings news, he enjoys blindly putting money on them to beat whoever their opponent may be, and daydreams about being their next Tight End. Brett graduated from UNLV with a degree in Architecture and specializes in web/graphic design; he hopes to provide this site’s visitors with the best Vikings experience on the net.

Related Articles


  1. I agree, Adam. I think 2-2 would be pretty a solid start to the season. If Gabbert has actually improved a bit, then we could be in for a tough game against a very solid Jaguar defence. The Colts’ roster is pretty ordinary on both sides of the ball, but I do think Luck will have a pretty solid rookie campaign and wouldn’t be surprised if it’s ends up being a close game. As for the Niners, that will be a nice test to see how far Ponder has developed, I don’t see our running game being a factor at all against Smith, Willis and Bowman, even if AP was back there. It will be entirely up to Ponder to generate some points. Then the Lions… well let’s just say I hope Madden curse is on full flight this year and Megatron is out that week with a sore ankle or something!

  2. That’s exactly how I see the first four games going too Brett. But hey they could also be 4-0, I know wishful thinking.

  3. Brett, Have to say that sounds logical, Really would like a upset against the Lions ! 3-1

  4. I agree completely with your analysis so far, the 49s have always been trouble for us even at our best when they werent very good it took a favre miracle to get us out of there with a W, and before that they held ap to something like 3 yards on 14 carries his second year. Also we should have beat the lions both times last season with our huge leads and webb fumble. Im also going 2-2 but i think its 50 50 were 3-1. I know typical optimistic vikings fan lol

  5. BTW whoever said they like my screen name its also my gamertag on xbox and you wouldnt believe how many people ask me if its my birthday lol

  6. 2-2 … I am on the same page.

    So, will Frazier be feeling some heat if the Vikings stumble in those first 2 games.

    1. Naw.

      Now if the two losses come from Jacksonville and Indy you MIGHT here some murmurs.

  7. Congrats on the new house Brett. I’ll take a shot at this prediction thingy

    Week 1 – Vikes 11, Jags 5. This game has an NFL record of 8 safeties, with an unprecedented 2 safeties on one play! A confused Ed Hocalugi split the difference and gave each team one point

    Week 2 – Vikes 13, Colts 5. Andrew Luck throws a pick six to former teammate Corey Gatewood. After the game, Gatewood asks Luck for his autograph

    Week 3 – Vikes 15, Niners 5. Niners punter Andy Lee attempts an unscripted fake punt and throws a pick six to Corey Gatewood. So this season, Gatewood leads the Vikings in scoring….. on the field.

    Week 4 – Vikes 17, Lions 5. Nick Fairley sacks Ponder for a safety, injures his knee, gets carted off the field then suffers a concussion as the upright hits him in the head after the drunk driving golf cart operator crashes into the goalpost. This ends his career. Karma is a bitch. Former Viking QB, Shaun Hill throws a pick six to Corey Gatewood, which prompts a new Chris Berman nickname. Henceforth he is known at Getwood. Aaron Rogers calls Getwood and asks him out on a date

    Due to the lack of offensive output, SpielMillen has been camped on Jeff “Meta Universal Peace” Dugan’s doorstep with a fat contract offer in his hand. Unbeknownst to Rickie Poo, our man Dugan has built his own personal space shuttle and is preparing to rendezvous with the International Space Station to put the finishing touches on his latest invention, anti gravity lumber.

  8. If my math is correct, Ole, it appears you are predicing that the Vikings defense will average 5.0 points per game allowed during the first four games.

  9. Brett, thats what I mean. IMO, those first 2 games will set the tone for the rest of the year. I think they are must win games.

    1. Oops. My fault… Yeah, I think if he were to lose those two games some people will be up in arms. I don’t think BOTH are must wins (feels silly to even say one is as it’s so early in the season), but he needs to at least walk away from one of those games with a “W”.