The National Folks Picking the Dolphins over Vikings

The Hill and Jefferson Race is On
Sep 29, 2022; Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; Miami Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill. Mandatory Credit: Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports.

The Minnesota Vikings (4-1) are 3.5-point favorites three days before a showdown with the Miami Dolphins (3-2) in Week 6.

The Dolphins lost to the upstart New York Jets, 40-17, in Week 5 after losing QB1 Tua Tagovailoa and QB2 Teddy Bridgewater in back-to-back games. The Vikings conquered the Chicago Bears 29-22 in a wacky game at U.S. Bank Stadium. Minnesota hopped out to an 18-point lead, later trailed by one point, and won by seven.

According to NFLPickWatch, a website that logs NFL experts’ weekly picks, about 82% of folks believe Minnesota will take down Miami at Hard Rock Stadium in Week 6. The Vikings have a 5-8 (.384) all-time record against the Dolphins.

Our Staff Prediction for Vikings at Dolphins
Dec 16, 2018; Minneapolis, MN, USA; Minnesota Vikings running back Dalvin Cook (33) is tackled by Miami Dolphins safety Minkah Fitzpatrick. Mandatory Credit: Brace Hemmelgarn-USA TODAY Sports.

A handful of personalities forecast a Dolphins win over the Vikings, though, even as the Dolphins trot out a rookie passer. As of Thursday, these individuals predict Miami sending the Vikings to a 4-2 record:

Mike Florio from PFT said about the Dolphins-Vikings matchup, “The Vikings keep doing just enough to win, thanks to plenty of good luck. Their luck runs out this week.”

Oct 9, 2022; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; Miami Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel talks with quarterback Skylar Thompson. Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports.

Maurice Moton from Bleacher Report noted about his Vikings-over-Dolphins prediction, “As the rookie (Skylar Thompson) goes through a learning experience, quarterback Kirk Cousins will go up and down the field on Miami’s 28th-ranked pass defense, connecting with wideouts Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen for big plays to blow this game wide open.”

The Vikings haven’t won a football game in Miami for 46 years. They’ve lost four straight contests on the road versus the Dolphins, last winning in 1976.

As mentioned by Moton, 7th-Round rookie Skylar Thompson gets the nod at QB1 as Tagovailoa and Bridgewater remain in the NFL’s concussion protocol. The Vikings are 8-8-2 (.500) throughout franchise history against quarterbacks making their first career start.

If the Vikings are triumphant, they’ll be 5-1 in a season for the first time since 2016.




Dustin Baker is a political scientist who graduated from the University of Minnesota in 2007. Subscribe to his daily YouTube Channel, VikesNow. He hosts a podcast with Bryant McKinnie, which airs every Wednesday with Raun Sawh and Sally from Minneapolis. His Viking fandom dates back to 1996. Listed guilty pleasures: Peanut Butter Ice Cream, ‘The Sopranos,’ and The Doors (the band).