The Case For and Against Kirk Cousins for 2019 NFL Most Valuable Player… From a Betting Perspective
Most teams have a player or two worthy of MVP mention. In Minnesota, the Vikings might have a pair of potential candidates. One is running back Dalvin Cook, and the second is quarterback Kirk Cousins. Let’s leave Cook out of the mix and present you a case for and against Cousins as the 2019 NFL MVP.
Cousins was a top-five MVP candidate according to multiple betting sites before the Vikings’ Week 9 game against the Chiefs. He’s now dropped to the average of 10th on those lists, behind Russell Wilson, Deshaun Watson, Lamar Jackson (whose odds massively increased after the upset win over the unbeaten Patriots), Aaron Rodgers (whose odds also fell after the Chargers game), Christian McCaffrey, immy Garoppolo, Tom Brady, Drew Brees (somehow), and Dak Prescott.
However, Cousins was nowhere near this list after the debacle in Chicago, but after a four-week span in which he lit the league on fire he fought his way to the top five. Could a strong finish to the season help him regain lost trust? Let’s find out, because if he could… Now might be the time to place a bet or two on Cousins for MVP.
Case For Kirk Cousins as MVP
Vikings Spot in the Standings
If we take a look back at nothing more than the NFL North Division projections, we see that the Vikings have already leapfrogged themselves into a better spot than many thought before the season started. Sure, the Bears have underwhelmed, but the Vikings truly have played better than some expectations.
We have to give some credit to the man under center for Minnesota’s midpoint success. At 6-3, the Vikings look to be in the middle of what appears to be a three or four team race for the wildcard at the very least. You can see the Vikings movement in the Lineups NFL Power Rankings article.
If not for a week-two defeat at Lambeau against the rival Packers and last weekends three-point loss to the Chiefs, the Vikings would be leading the NFC North. Instead, they await a Monday Night Football rematch the next-to-last game of the regular season.
Kirk Cousins has been meticulous, if not spectacular, in leading his team its current team position in the NFC pecking order. Leading teams to positions higher in the standings than projected is cause for MVP consideration.
Sure, his week 9 performance against the Chiefs hurt his chances, but upon closer inspection that game seemed to be a complete failure in game planning from the brain trust on the sidelines. The Vikings often found themselves in third-and-long situations, which not even Joe Montana in his prime could gun sling his way out of. The good news from a betting perspective is that this makes Cousins a better bet for the prop bet that is him winning the MVP.
Cousins has shown that he’s capable of bouncing back after a bad performance, which makes Sunday Night’s game against the Cowboys in Dallas a HUGE game in terms of the Vikings overall chances and Cousins’ MVP shot.
Bet on Cousins: You can bet on the Kirk Cousins and the Vikings on Monkey Knife Fight with
has had the best quarterback numbers in every matchup this season, including both Viking losses (I know some of you are scoffing at that statement, but check his QB rating across each game this season, or his stats in general. They mirrored 2018 MVP Patrick Mahomes’ stats pretty closely).
Statistics via @NFLResearch tell an interesting story on #Vikings QB Kirk Cousins after last night.
— Look at Cousins the last 4 games and how he’s come on
— Compare Cousins’ start to that of last year’s MVP Patrick Mahomes through 8 games. ??♂️ pic.twitter.com/fukVUTipzc
— Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet) October 25, 2019
Not ironic at all, both of those defeats came on the road in bitter divisional games against the Pack and the Bears. After beating up on the Raiders the week after the tough loss in Green Bay, Cousins started a streak of three plus-300 yard passing games until the Chiefs and the worst game plan since Custer and the Battle of Little Bighorn.
Minnesota averaged 36-points a game during this three game stretch, albeit against opponents not up to the level of the NFL’s tougher defenses. Still, Cousins looked MVP sharp and maintained a level of consistently star-type performances.
Minnesota navigated the short-week Thursday game by methodically disposing of the undermanned Redskins.
Kirk Cousin’s quarterback play was anything but spectacular, but it was again consistently solid.
two games this season. In spite of no passing scores, Cousins posted a glittering 112.3 quarterback rating in front of nationally televised audience.Consistency is always a strong point that separates the MVP contenders from the non contenders. Kirk Cousins has been the model of quarterback consistency, and most of it has been MVP worthy consistency. Say what you will about the Chiefs game, but he still threw for three touchdowns and had a rating of over 90, hardly the disaster people are claiming it is.
Case Against Kirk Cousins as MVP
could not will his team to victory. Also, would the MVP throw that interception on first-and-goal against Green Bay? However, Packers QB Aaron Rodgers has thrown similar interceptions this season and in his career, so there’s that to consider.
wrong colored jersey.
52.9 QBR in that game is a small black mark against his MVP prowess. Against the Bears two weeks after the Packer loss, he connected with his receiving corps better.
However, Cousins didn’t find the end zone. Even a methodical drive late in the game to pull within 10-points, wasn’t enough game heroics to warrant MVP banter. Cousins did not play poorly in these two big games; he just didn’t muster up MVP types of performances.
This is probably going to turn out to be the biggest hurdle for Kirk Cousins to overcome. There is a player on his own team that warrants consideration as a most valuable player. Dalvin Cook lead the NFL in rushing yards at the midway point, a stat that always attracts MVP votes.
Touchdowns are another highly prized MVP stat, and Cook lead the NFLafter eight games with nine trips to pay dirt. Winning success will always play a part in voter’s minds, so Cousins quarterback competition for MVP will probably come from a handful of fellow signal callers.
Russell Wilson and Packer rival Aaron Rodgers are currently sitting statistically ahead of Cousins on the board, and with matching or better won/loss records. As much as his performance down the stretch will play in Cousins chances at MVP, the strongest roadblock may be the competition from his own teammate.
mark for hitting 4,000 yard passing on the season, he also has a touchdown to interception ratio of 16:3.