Friday, February 12, 2016

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Image courtesy of Vikings.com

I’ve gathered boards from 43 different rankers (Kiper was a late addition), 13 of them “Big Draft” media types and the other 30 as amateur evaluators. I’ve also updated the big boards from CBS, Matt Miller and NFL.com as well as a few others, but for the most part rankings haven’t changed since the last time I’ve posted them.

To go over the process again, you can click here. It describes how the board is built, and how we come up with the different categories, like “most polarizing player,” “biggest disagreements” and so on. As a quick summary, we’ve separated the rankings into two big boards: “forecasters” and “evaluators.”

Forecasters are primarily in the business of predicting how the draft will go (or, more accurately, their big boards tend to do that) in large part because of their access to information the NFL has, which can be good and bad—critical information like the nature of off-field issues and injuries are incorporated, but so are the lies teams feed the media.

Evaluators rely more on the data they can acquire from game tape (when available), the broadcast angle of games and publicly available quantitative information, like combine measureables and statistics. Many will rely on media reports, but recognize the limitations of that when applying injury or character information.

 


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Image courtesy of Vikings.com

Well, the moment is upon us. We have a lot of fun stuff lined up for you all on Draft Weekend, but I wasn’t going to let it all get started without doing an obligatory “Final Mock Draft.”

CLICK HERE for Adam’s final 2015 NFL Mock Draft

Here are a few predictions I am willing to make in advance of the Draft, and are reflected in my mock, that might be provide some good fodder for the comments section.

You're on the clock, Vikings fans

Image courtesy of Vikings.com

Earlier today, Vikings general manager Rick Spielman addressed the media, offering a few insights into his plans for the 2015 NFL Draft. The usually cryptic Spielman left little to the imagination, making three points emphatically clear:

1. The 11th-overall pick is FOR SALE
2. The Vikings are not interested in an Adrian Peterson trade
3. Analytics = critical to 2015 draft planning

As mentioned in previous articles, and most recently by Ryan Boser, Spielman wants to accumulate nine or 10 total picks each year. With just seven in his pocket before the draft begins on Thursday, fans can expect Spielman to play an active role in early trade negotiations.

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The NFL Draft is ALMOST HERE, Vikings fans! *Takes a deep breathe* We’re joined by show favorite Luke Inman (@luke_spinman) of eDraft in the last few days to talk about any last second nuggets or draft developments that hasn’t already been beaten to death by the sports media (Mock Draft #78.9!) in this never ending lead up to the most exciting three days of the NFL Offseason.

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Rick Spielman

Vikings general manager Rick Spielman was beyond aggressive in selling the 11th overall pick in the draft to other teams in a presser he held today to discuss Minnesota’s plan for the NFL draft.

With a weak commitment to actually selecting a player at the 11th pick, Spielman largely talked about the favorable market for the 11th pick in a number of ways.

“The 11th pick is very appealing as a potential trade spot,” Spielman remarked. “The 5th-year option decreases dramatically after the first ten picks.”

The Comprehensive Bargaining Agreement, ratified between the NFL and NFLPA in 2011, spells out fifth-year player option prices for the first round of the draft. Picks 1-10 (like Matt Kalil) will receive the franchise tag amount for their position if their fifth-year option is picked up—a one-year payout equaling the average salary for the top-ten highest paid players at their position.

After that tenth pick, the fifth-year option only costs teams the average of the third- through 25th-highest paid players at the position.

“I’m looking forward to moving out of that pick if possible. I don’t see us moving up.”

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